Andre Petroski vs. Gerald Meerschaert Odds
The UFC 292 early preliminary card concludes with an intriguing middleweight bout between Andre Petroski and Gerald Meerschaert.
In a clash between two finish-first fighters, The Ultimate Fighter alum Petroski is a big favorite over Meerschaert, whose uneven UFC career has been highlighted by a string of highlight-reel finishes, both win and lose.
Here’s our Petroski vs. Meerschaert betting breakdown for UFC 292.
_InlineAdBlock
Tale of the Tape
| Petroski | Meerschaert | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-2 | 35-16 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 11:04 | 7:52 |
| Height | 6’0″ | 6’1″ |
| Weight | 186 pounds | 185 pounds |
| Reach | 73 inches | 77 inches |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 6/12/1991 | 12/18/1987 |
| Sig Strikes Per Minute | 3.64 | 3.11 |
| SS Accuracy | 55% | 43% |
| SS Absorbed Per Minute | 2.28 | 3.47 |
| SS Defense | 52% | 52% |
| Take Down Avg | 5.43 | 2.12 |
| TD Acc | 57% | 37% |
| TD Def | 75% | 29% |
| Submission Avg | 3.4 | 1.7 |
Meerschaert is very comfortable fighting off his back. He has the most submissions (nine) in UFC middleweight history despite poor takedown defense (29% career).
Andre Petroski wrestles at a high volume (9.4 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, 57% accuracy). He can likely keep Meerschaert flat on his back for most of this fight, stay safe on top, and win a one-sided decision.
Additionally, Petroski likely has the faster and more powerful hands – to negate a four-inch reach discrepancy – and is the more durable man at this stage of their respective careers.
[relatedarticle articleimageurl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/GettyImages-1441085929.jpg” linktext=”UFC 292 Best Bets: Our Expert Picks for Weili vs. Lemos, Vera vs. Munhoz, More” link=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mma/ufc-292-odds-picks-projections-our-zhang-vs-lemos-saturday-august-19″][/relatedarticle]
If he prefers to strike, Petroski should be able to defend any of Meerschaert’s takedown attempts and keep this fight standing.
I expect Petroski to dominate this bout’s opening round and have opportunities to close the show.
However, referees tend to give Meerschaert a little more leeway when he’s in trouble – because he has a history of coming back against opponents – and there are several ways in which Petroski can gas himself out and allow Meerschaert to turn the tables in the latter part of the fight.
_InlineAdBlock
Petroski vs. Meerschaert Pick
While I do project value on Meerschaert from a pre-fight perspective (projected +173, listed +200 at Caesars), I’m not interested in betting on him until after Round 1, when you should get a far superior number.
Additionally, Meerschaert by submission (projected +290, listed +390 at FanDuel) is a solid option for round robins.
The Pick: Gerald Meerschaert Live after Round 1
_InlineAdBlock