Jack Jenkins vs. Gabriel Santos Prediction, Pick, UFC 312 Odds

Jack Jenkins (13-3) faces Gabriel Santos (11-2) in the UFC 312 prelims on Saturday night at the Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia.

While Santos won his most recent fight against Yizha, he suffered a loss in two consecutive fights prior. Jenkins, on the other hand has won in 10 of his past 11 battles

Here’s my Jack Jenkins vs. Gabriel Santos prediction.

[quickslipbasic bookname=”FanDuel” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/53766_FanDuel@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/02/Screen-Shot-2025-02-07-at-7.22.13-PM.png” buttontext=”Tail Zerillo & Bet Santos (-230)” buttonlink=”https://sharpside.com/books/fanduel/passthrough?deeplinkId[0]=ML1274964307&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]

Jack Jenkins vs. Gabriel Santos UFC 312 Odds

Jenkins Odds	+195
Santos Odds	-238
Over/Under	2.5 Rounds -210/+160
Location	Qudos Bank Arena \| Sydney, Australia
Bout Time	11:45 p.m. ET
TV/Streaming	ESPN+ PPV
UFC 312 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 312 with our DraftKings promo code.

_InlineAdBlock

Jenkins vs. Santos Prediction, Pick

Jack Jenkins was the most “public” underdog in my data sample this week, with fans and bettors selecting the Aussie at a 69% clip despite implied odds of nearly 35%.

Gabriel Santos is the bigger man (2″ advantage in both height and reach) and the better athlete. He seemingly has Jenkins covered in this fight, skill for skill.

[twitterembed tweetid=”1886905457744179209″][/twitterembed]

Still, Santos is incredibly exciting because he tends to brawl with opponents and fight at a high pace. This can lead to him tiring when he faces resistance, but if he lands takedowns against Jenkins, he should be in the driver’s seat.

Jenkins likely has a better gas tank and strong leg kicks to neutralize Santos’ movement. However, he’s been taken down and out-grappled for at least half a round against each of his four UFC opponents, and Santos is the best grappler and most physical opponent he’s faced to date.

I projected Santos as a near -270 favorite and would bet his moneyline to -250. However, I don’t project value on the total or any winning method props.

Pick: Gabriel Santos (-230, 0.25u) at FanDuel; bet to -250