White Sox vs. Angels Odds
White Sox Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+110
|
8.5 -104 / -118 |
+1.5
-176
|
Angels Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-130 |
8.5
-104 / -118
|
-1.5
+146
|
Aside from the most lopsided win of the season, the Angels have been ice-cold at the plate over the past week, entering Monday with four losses in their last five games.
With Reid Detmers toeing the slab against a poor White Sox offense, might the home team be worth a look at this price?
Let’s break it all down in my White Sox vs. Angels preview, which includes my betting pick on the series opener from Angel Stadium.
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The first part of the equation here for the White Sox is Dylan Cease. After finishing second in Cy Young Award voting a season ago, the right-hander has been a trainwreck in 2023 with a 4.22 ERA and 4.39 xERA. His strikeout rate is down around four points, and his walk rate remains poor at 10.5%.
Cease has certainly been better of late. He’s registered a 2.38 ERA across four June starts, striking out 32 in 22 2/3 innings. That’s come along with 10 walks, however, and while he did limit the Rangers to two runs last time out, he had the benefit of facing the Tigers, Marlins and a struggling Dodgers offense in his other starts this month.
The White Sox are not having a fun time hitting at the moment. They’re hitting .227 over the last two weeks, which puts them 24th in the league, and they’ve walked in just 5.1% of plate appearances which is the second-worst mark in the bugs during that time.
On top of that, they’re 21st in wRC+ against left-handed pitching with a poor 23.2% strikeout rate within the split.
Reid Detmers just continues to improve. The 23-year-old southpaw has finally replicated the dominant strikeout numbers we saw out of him in college and at the minor-league level, sitting down 28.2% of the batters he’s seen this season. That’s come along with a 4.02 ERA and 4.07 xERA, putting him squarely in the conversation as an above-average pitcher.
Detmers’ big issue this year has been in the walk department. He’s issued a free pass in 9.1% of plate appearances, and now owns a 9% mark for his career. His .373 xSLG is a good number, as is his elite 4.3% barrel rate. Detmers has only been burned by walks and singles, so this may turn out to be a good matchup for him.
The Angels did have that 25-run outburst in Colorado, so their offensive numbers are going to be slightly inflated, but over the last two weeks they do grade out as the second-best offense in baseball according to wRC+. They’re only striking out 19.5% of the time and walking in 10.5% of plate appearances, which are Atlanta Braves-like numbers.
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White Sox vs. Angels Betting Pick
The Angels are beginning to put it together at the plate, and I think they should be able to capitalize on a struggling Cease to get Detmers the run support he needs here. He shouldn’t even need more than a few, considering this matchup doesn’t get any better for the youngster.
Against an impatient team which can’t hit for average and can’t hit lefties, Detmers should be hard to touch.
I see a lot of value in the Angels as short favorites here at home.
Pick: Angels ML (-132) |
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