toronto blue jays vs st louis cardinals-prediction-pick-odds-wednesday june 11

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, June 11

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Toronto Blue Jays on on June 11, 2025. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSMW.

Find my MLB betting preview and Blue Jays vs Cardinals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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  • Blue Jays vs Cardinals picks: Under 8.5

My Blue Jays vs Cardinals best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Blue Jays vs Cardinals Odds

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Blue Jays vs Cardinals Projected Starting Pitchers

Eric Lauer (TOR) Stat Matthew Liberatore (STL)
2-1 W-L 3-5
0.1 fWAR (FanGraphs) 1.5
2.08 / 3.17 ERA /xERA 3.82 / 3.57
3.88 / 4.38 FIP / xFIP 3.04 / 3.49
0.88 WHIP 1.13
15.2 K-BB% 17.1
33.8 GB% 41.1
92 Stuff+ 98
96 Location+ 103

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction, Betting Analysis

According to Evan Abrams’ “Silent Sharp Unders” system, this total is the play to make for this interleague showdown between the Blue Jays and Cardinals on Wednesday.

This system targets MLB regular-season matchups in which both teams have winning percentages between 46% and 100% on the season. But it also targets when the total has quietly dropped from open to close.

These are games featuring stable weather conditions and closing totals in a common scoring range (7.5-10), as well as the fact that both teams are solid.

The market subtly favors the under despite the winning percentages — likely due to matchup specifics, pitching or pace factors.

By following this soft signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.

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While this system has the best ROI of the bunch, there’s others lighting up for this pick for Wednesday, including Evan Abrams’ “Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series” and “Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams” from PRO.

That makes this a solid, reliable play on Wednesday.

Pick: Under 8.5


Moneyline

There’s no official play on the moneyline, although systems are eyeing the Blue Jays to win straight up.


Run Line (Spread)

There’s no play on the run line.


Over/Under

The official play for Blue Jays vs. Cardinals is on the under.

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Blue Jays vs Cardinals Betting Trends

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[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Blue Jays vs Cardinals Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”256305″ date=”20250611″][/gameforecast]


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