The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports Sun and Twins TV.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Twins prediction for the Friday series opener below.
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- Rays vs Twins pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375)
My Rays vs Twins best bet is Caminero to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Twins Odds
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Rays vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zack Littell (TBR) | Stat | RHP Chris Paddack (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.61/4.56 | ERA /xERA | 4.70/4.69 |
| 5.11/4.15 | FIP / xFIP | 4.47/4.73 |
| 1.07 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 13.9% | K-BB% | 10.3% |
| 41.7% | GB% | 36.6% |
| 85 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 104 | Location+ | 113 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction, Betting Preview
Rays star Junior Caminero is in a great spot, and these odds for him to hit a home run are a bit too high.
The weather in Minnesota should be great for hitting, with winds blowing strongly toward left field and temperatures in the low 90s.
Twins starter Chris Paddack is a favorable matchup for right-handed power, having allowed 1.37 HR/9 over his career. While he’s been better this season, he’s due for some negative regression.
I have the true odds here about 50 points lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375; bet365)
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Rays vs Twins Betting Trends
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