The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays on on June 9, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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- Rays vs Red Sox picks: Brayan Bello Under 17.5 Outs (-125)
My Rays vs Red Sox best bet is on Brayan Bello under 17.5 outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Rays vs Red Sox Odds
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Rays vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| Shane Baz (TB) | Stat | Brayan Bello (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.96 / 4.32 | ERA /xERA | 3.91 / 5.71 |
| 5.01 / 3.95 | FIP / xFIP | 4.81 / 4.46 |
| 1.36 | WHIP | 1.59 |
| 13.3 | K-BB% | 4.3 |
| 49.5 | GB% | 53.1 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 99 | Location+ | 102 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
The outs prop for Red Sox starter Brayan Bello looks like a strong wager based on the current data from RotoGrinders’ Prop Model.
The line of 17.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 62.09% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 6.53% edge.
Most importantly, the Prop Model is 65-42 (+21.31u) on MLB picks this season, giving us strong value in this Monday AL East tilt.
Bello is 2-1 on the season with a 3.91 ERA, 5.71 xERA, 4.81 FIP and 4.46 xFIP. Since the start of May, he’s worked longer than 4 2/3 innings in just two of seven starts.
You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Brayan Bello Under 17.5 Outs (-125)
Moneyline
There’s no play on the moneyline for this AL East matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
There’s also no play on the run line for Rays vs. Red Sox.
Over/Under
There’s no play on the regular over/under, but the bet should come on Brayan Bello under 17.5 outs at -125.
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Rays vs Red Sox Betting Trends
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