San Francisco Giants vs LA Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Friday MLB Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers (41-28) host the San Francisco Giants (40-29) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.

Fresh off a series win over the Padres, the Dodgers take on another NL West rival in the visiting Giants, who have won seven of their last eight games. Who will prevail in tonight’s series opener, which features acesLogan Webb and Yoshinobu Yamamoto?

Continue below to find my Giants vs Dodgers prediction for Friday night.

San Francisco Giants vs LA Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Lines

[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sf.png” awayname=”Giants” awayslug=”san-francisco-giants” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ladd.png” homename=”Dodgers” homeslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” date=”Friday, June 13″ time=”10:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB Network” col1text=”Run Line” col2text=”Over/Under” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+1.5″ col1awayline=”-140″ col1hometext=”-1.5″ col1homeline=”+118″ col2awaytext=”7.5″ col2hometext=”7.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+162″ col3hometext=”-195″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”Caesars” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/463646_Caesars.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gamematchup]

[expertpickswidget league=”mlb” gameid=”256413″ date=”20250613″ week=”” seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]

Giants vs Dodgers Preview, Prediction

[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Giants Betting Preview: New-Look Webb” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sf.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/san-francisco-giants” link1follow=”false”][/subheader]

Logan Webb’s resurgence has been fun to watch. The right-hander has found a way to maintain his sky-high ground-ball rate while lowering the Expected Batting Average against him to .243, and with fewer hard-hit balls, his Expected Slugging is down roughly 70 points to .345.

The biggest difference for Webb, however, is his new-found ability to miss bats.

While his whiff and chase rates are only slightly better than the league average, the veteran has struck out 28.5% of the batters he’s faced, which is bordering on elite territory. Only a select few ground-ballers — like Framber Valdez, or tonight’s opponent, Yoshinobu Yamamoto — have been able to marry strikeouts with pitching to good contact and, now in his sixth season Webb has discovered this magic.

The gains seem sustainable, too. Webb’s strikeout rate dipped only slightly to 25.4% in May, and it’s already back up over 30% in June. Along the way, his xBA has remained stable along with his hard-hit rate, and both have dropped to season-best marks this month.

The one thing to look out for is the Giants’ infield defense, which ranks just 17th in Outs Above Average, but last month it posted a +1 to rank 10th and this month it’s up at +5 OAA to pull in third.

[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Dodgers Betting Preview: Yamamoto Throwing Well” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ladd.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/los-angeles-dodgers” link1follow=“false”][/subheader]

As mentioned, Yamamoto is one of those rare unicorns who has mastered the art of rolling up outs on the ground with elite strikeout numbers — and he’s done so in short order. In just his second big-league season, Yamamoto has run a 58.4% ground-ball rate to sit in the top 2% of all pitchers, and it’s led him to some of the best expected numbers in the league with a .216 xBA and .319 xSLG, which beat out the league average by 29 and 86 points, respectively.

The strange twist here is that the Dodgers, while ranking 12th in infield OAA, have trended in the opposite direction of the Giants in that department on account of some injuries.

Walks have been a bit of an issue for Yamamoto this year, as he’s issued a free pass to 8.6% of the batters he’s faced, and in his last two starts against the Yankees and Cardinals he totaled five walks in 9 2/3 innings. The Giants do walk a good deal, taking a fourth ball in 9.5% of their plate appearances over the past two weeks, and their 22.7% strikeout rate is a slight improvement over the numbers they’ve been running lately.

Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis

With two extreme ground-ballers on the hill, it’s a great time to look at our good ole’ contact splits.

Against ground-ballers this season, the Dodgers rank first with an .898 OPS, and San Francisco is in ninth with an OPS of .739. In the reverse split, however, we see a discrepancy with the Giants all the way down in 27th and the Dodgers in third with a drop of 89 percentage points.

This is an excellent spot for both teams, which have capable power bats that can be mitigated by masters of keeping fly balls in the yard, and with more contact-oriented arms, the Giants’ offense should continue working its way back to relevancy.

San Francisco’s Isolated Power is down to .141 over the past two weeks — a mark that’s still somewhat respectable — but more importantly, it’s remained patient at the dish with a near-10% walk rate that should help get some runners on base against Yamamoto, who is struggling with his control at the moment.

Mix in a park upgrade for the Giants, and their extreme splits favoring ground-ball pitchers, and I think we’ll see some runs scored tonight.

Pick:  Over 7.5 (+101)

[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-11.58.46%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Tail This Pick Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1624892802&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]

Moneyline

I’m not betting the Dodgers vs. Giants moneyline.

Run Line (Spread)

I’m going to pass on the Dodgers vs. Giants run line.

Over/Under

I see value in the over and will be betting the Dodgers vs. Giants to go over the total.

Giants vs Dodgers Betting Trends

[bettingtrends title=”” gameid=”256413″ date=”20250613″][/bettingtrends]

[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Giants vs Dodgers Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”256413″ date=”20250613″][/gameforecast]

[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]