san diego padres vs atlanta braves-prediction-pick-odds-friday-may 23

Padres vs Braves Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, May 23

The Atlanta Braves host the San Diego Padres on May 23, 2025. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SDPA.

Read our Padres vs Braves prediction and MLB player prop picks below.

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Padres vs Braves Picks:

  • Xander Bogaerts Home Run (+900, FanDuel)
  • Marcell Ozuna Home Run (+320, FanDuel)

My Padres vs Braves best bet is on two home run props. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.

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Padres vs Braves Odds

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Dylan Wilkerson’s Padres vs Braves Preview

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During game time, the wind should blow out toward center field at about eight MPH, making the environment relatively hitter-friendly.

Xander Bogaerts is 7-for-23 lifetime against Braves starting pitcher Chris Sale with a home run and a 16-degree average launch angle.

Although Boagerts has yet to tally a homer off a lefty on the year, he is batting .283 against the side, so the process seems sound.

Bogaerts is an excellent long-shot bet to go yard on Friday against the defending NL Cy Young winner.

Pick: Xander Bogaerts Home Run (+900, FanDuel)


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I’m betting this based on the matchup.

In 31 lifetime at-bats against Padres starting pitcher Nick Pivetta, Marcell Ozuna has six home runs in eight hits.

Ozuna boasts a 22.9% pulled fly-ball rate, crucial for generating power.

Meanwhile, Pivetta is overperforming (2.86 ERA, 3.57 xERA), and his pulled fly-ball rate allowed has consistently increased throughout his career (20% this season).

Pivetta has avoided runs, but his old pal Ozuna could force looming regression, especially with the projected hitter-friendly weather conditions.

Pick: Marcell Ozuna Home Run (+320, FanDuel)


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Padres vs Braves Betting Trends

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