PRO Projections reminded bettors of the value in plus-money wagering a few nights ago. Despite a 1-3 record on plus-money picks for Red Sox vs. Yankees, the big one cashed: Masataka Yoshida (+900) to hit a home run.
MR. CLUTCH!! pic.twitter.com/fT6OLKMY0H
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 6, 2024
Our advanced baseball models are back with multiple plus-money picks for for Red Sox vs. Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball tonight, with Kutter Crawford and Luis Gil set to clash at Yankee Stadium. Sunday’s first pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET, broadcast on ESPN.
The premium best bets below are drawn from a range of tools available in PRO Report, including expert projections and PRO Systems.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Picks | Plus-Money Sunday Night Baseball Best Bets
Red Sox Moneyline
Tonight’s consensus Red Sox vs. Yankees odds list New York at -130 and Boston at +110.
Analyzing the betting data, the Yankees are attracting 84% of the tickets and 76% of the money at the time of writing. After accounting for the situation, PRO Systems actually reveal a massive edge on Red Sox moneyline.
Boston fits our “Contrarian Betting Against Good Team” angle for Sunday Night Baseball. When more betting tickets than money are landing on an elite home team — like the Yankees — against an opponent on a losing streak (the Red Sox), betting on the less-popular visitors has produced solid results.
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PRO Report Pick: Red Sox Moneyline (+110)
Alex Verdugo (NYY) Over 0.5 RBI
Verdugo homered last night, and appears to relish when facing his former team. His left-handed swing plays well at Yankee Stadium and likely possesses the confidence to perform against Boston, where he played last season.
Importantly, Verdugo’s position in the batting order, hitting behind strong hitters, increases the likelihood of runners being in scoring positions when he steps to the plate, enhancing his chances of driving in runs.
The PRO Projections signal also supports this bet. Our proprietary advanced betting models identify significant edges in various player prop categories, including RBIs. The PRO Projections signal for Verdugo to knock in a run are at 0.6 – an 11.2% edge stacked up to odds of +210 at BetMGM.
PRO Report Pick: Alex Verdugo Over 0.5 RBI (+210)
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) Over 0.5 RBI
Projections show a bullish outlook for Yoshida tonight, predicting him for 0.5 RBI on average. Comparing our prediction to DraftKings‘ price of +275 for Yoshida to drive in a run vs. the Yankees, it formulates a favorable 10.2% edge.
PRO Report Pick: Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 RBI (+275)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.