The Minnesota Twins host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 11, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
This three-game series opens with a great pitchers’ duel between Pittsburgh’s ace Paul Skenes and Minnesota’s Joe Ryan.
Find my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”DraftKings” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/128508_Primary1.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/07/July11piratestwinsqs.jpg” buttontext=”Place This Bet Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1679091636&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”My Pirates vs Twins Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/pittsburgh-pirates” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/minnesota-twins” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- Pirates vs Twins picks: Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-137)
My Pirates vs Twins best bet is over on Joe Ryan’s strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
_InlineAdBlock
Pirates vs Twins Odds
[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” awayname=”Pirates” awayslug=”pittsburgh-pirates” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png” homename=”Twins” homeslug=”minnesota-twins” date=”Friday, July 11″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”SportsNet PT” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-1.5″ col1awayline=”+173″ col1hometext=”+1.5″ col1homeline=”-214″ col2awaytext=”6.5″ col2hometext=”6.5″ col2awayline=”-122o / 100u” col2homeline=”-122o / 100u” col3awaytext=”-101″ col3hometext=”-120″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/603379_Primary.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
Pirates vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Paul Skenes (PIT) | Stat | RHP Joe Ryan (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | W-L | 8-4 |
| 3.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.4 |
| 1.94 / 2.53 | ERA / xERA | 2.76 / 3.17 |
| 2.37 / 3.05 | FIP / xFIP | 3.25 / 3.53 |
| 0.92 | WHIP | 0.89 |
| 21.2 | K-BB% | 23.4 |
| 47.1 | GB% | 38.1 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 111 | Location+ | 104 |
Pirates vs Twins Prediction, Betting Analysis
This projects as a great matchup for the Twins‘ Joe Ryan, as this Pirates team has been very strikeout-heavy over the last 30 days, with six of the nine projected starters in their lineup striking out over 23% of the time in that span.
Ryan also has an increased strikeout rate against righties, and this Pirates team has a projected lineup consisting of six righties.
Pick: Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-137)
Pirates vs Twins Betting Trends
[bettingtrends title=”” gameid=”257627″ date=”20250711″][/bettingtrends]
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pirates vs Twins Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”257627″ date=”20250711″][/gameforecast]
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]