Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Pick | MLB Opening Day Betting Prediction (Thursday, March 30)

Phillies vs. Rangers Odds

Jacob deGrom will make his Rangers debut on Opening Day — albeit, with a pitch count. 

DeGrom — returning after missing most of 2022 with the Mets — will only throw 65 pitches on Thursday afternoon.

Meanwhile, fourth-place Cy Young finisher Aaron Nola will suit up for the Phillies.

These factors — despite deGrom’s pitch count — have set the total at a low clip of 6.5.

But is that too low?

For Phillies vs. Rangers, the Action Network has developed a proprietary 11% ROI betting system that indicates heavy value on one line in particular.

The system has gleaned data since 2005, so it’s been successful over a lengthy sample size.

Read further to see how to apply it to Thursday’s game.

Phillies vs. Rangers MLB Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary betting system incorporates four factors when determining which moneylines to wager on.

• The game must the first, second or third in a team’s season
• The team you’d bet on needs to be the road team
• The team you’d bet on needs to be the underdog
• The closing moneyline is between +110 and +330 in order to temper variance

All of these parameters fit the Phillies’ moneyline on Thursday afternoon.

The market-best price is with BetRivers at +118.

As aforementioned, this betting system has returned 11% on investment since “Let Me Love You” by Mario led the airwaves.

Plus, with deGrom on the hill for only three to five innings, this may be a great spot for the NL champions.

Do keep in mind that because you’re betting solely on underdogs, you’re going to lose more than you win. While it’s accumulated an 11% ROI in profits, the system has gone 179-220 (45%).

For example, with a +300 underdog, you only need to win one out of three times in order to be profitable.

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