PRO Projections highlighted two standout home run predictions for tonight’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates. But there’s an interesting twist to keep in mind: According to expert MLB projections, one’s a pick to homer; the other is a hitter to bet against.
The PRO Projections signal is highly beneficial for betting on home run props. These projections employ advanced models that account for detailed factors like ballpark factors, specific matchups, and historical data. This precise analysis boosts the odds of success by identifying undervalued — or overvalued — betting opportunities.
The Phillies have bashed their way atop the NL East, ranking third in the league in homers. Last night’s game between the Phillies and the Pirates, meanwhile, wound up a high-scoring affair, showcasing the offensive capabilities of both teams.
The best home run predictions Saturday for Phillies vs. Pirates features a player to bet against, and another home run ticket priced at +1250.
Phillies vs. Pirates Home Run Props, Odds | Best Predictions Saturday
Let’s start with PRO Projections top fade for Phillies vs. Pirates Saturday: Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber. He’s projected for just 0.2 homers on average by our models, and isn’t a good bet to go yard at the current market price.
Instead, taking his under 0.5, or to not hit a homer at -285 (DraftKings) actually translates to a solid 6.9% edge. It’s a bet against the vaunted left-handed bopper.
Meanwhile, PRO Projections best bet to homer in Phillies vs. Pirates is Pittsburgh’s Jack Suwinski.
We project Suwinski for roughly the same homers tonight as Schwarber, but are getting a great price on the former.
Suwinski’s anywhere from +900 to +1250 (BetMGM) to homer tonight. Grabbing the best odds available at MGM produces a 6.5% edge in the long haul.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Jack Suwinski +1250
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