The Arizona Diamondbacks (36-34) host the San Diego Padres (38-31) on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on ARID.
After completing a wild comeback on Saturday, the Diamondbacks enter Sunday with their eyes on a three-game sweep of the rival Padres.
Find our Padres vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
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- Padres vs Diamondbacks pick: Under 8.5
Our Padres vs Diamondbacks best bet is Under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds, Lines
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Padres vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| Nick Pivetta (SDP) | Stat | Merrill Kelly (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | W-L | 6-2 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 3.48/3.73 | ERA /xERA | 3.18/4.03 |
| 3.24/3.62 | FIP / xFIP | 3.22/3.31 |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 0.99 |
| 19.7 | K-BB% | 17.9 |
| 33.2 | GB% | 46.6 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 113 | Location+ | 105 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams’ “Sunday Unders on Over streak” system targets this afternoon’s series finale.
This MLB betting strategy focuses on Sunday games where the home team is coming off one or two straight overs, indicating recent offensive surges or inflated totals.
Sundays often feature earlier start times and serve as the final game of a series, scenarios that typically bring lineup changes, rested starters, and more cautious offensive approaches. Key hitters may sit, and starting pitchers benefit from familiarity with opposing lineups.
The system targets opening totals between 8 and 9.5 runs, high enough to offer value on the under when regression is likely.
With many teams worn down from a full week and Sunday commonly used for rest days, these matchups historically trend toward slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes. Betting unders in these spots has shown long-term profitability and a strong ROI in regular-season MLB markets.
This system has achieved a five percent return on investment (ROI) all-time and a 10% ROI this season.
Pick: Under 8.5
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Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in Padres vs. Diamondbacks today.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
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