Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds
| Red Sox Odds | +110 |
| Mariners Odds | -130 |
| Total | 7.5 (-110 / -110) |
| Date | Monday, July 31 |
| Time | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Monday afternoon.
The Boston Red Sox begin a three-game series with the Seattle Mariners on Monday night at T-Mobile Park. George Kirby will be on the bump for the Mariners, while Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Pivetta player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Pivetta to struggle against the Mariners.
It’s a bet on the under.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Nick Pivetta Player Prop Prediction, Projection
The Red Sox have been on a roll when Pivetta has pitched as of late, winning their last five games with Pivetta on the bump. The right-hander has also gone 3-0 in those decisions.
Pivetta owns a record of 7-5 on the season to go with an ERA of 4.11 ERA.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 6.5 with -125 juice to the over, while the under sits at -105. That’s the best price on the under in the market.
The model predicts Pivetta will have 5.2 strikeouts tonight, good enough for about a 12% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Nick Pivetta Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105)
