PRO Projections submitted one of the juiciest MLB strikeout props of the entire season Tuesday. Today’s best pick is Pirates starter Jared Jones’ strikeout line when Pittsburgh takes on the New York Mets at Citi Field on April 16.
Jones, 22, has already posted some strong numbers across his first cup of coffee as a rookie. The Pirates right-hander has fanned 25 hitters across 18 innings, alongside a WHIP south of 1.000.
Tonight’s strikeout total for Jones in Pirates vs. Mets is 6.5. The Mets are slightly favored at home in the second game of the series. Tuesday’s full-game over/under (7.5), meanwhile, is one of the lowest on the MLB odds board Tuesday.
With that in mind, check out the strikeout number our betting models posted. Hint: It’s nowhere close to where Jones’ strikeout prop is set tonight.
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MLB Picks, Strikeout Props: Tuesday’s Top Prediction (April 16)
Jones’ confidence has been on display since his first start. He fanned 10 Marlins in his debut, and has at least seven Ks in all three starts.
Tuesday’s over/under might be the perfect time to sell; our numbers pumped out a fair strikeout total for Jones tonight vs. the Mets of just 4.0!
Stacking those odds up against what’s available around the market (Under 6.5, -135 at bet365), projections rolled out an edge north of 30% and an obvious, A+ pick on the Pirates starter to go under the total tonight.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Jared Jones Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135)
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For more coverage of the 2024 MLB season, check out our MLB odds page as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for every matchup.