PRO MLB Projections nailed the top strikeout pick in a sweat-free win yesterday.
Today’s best bet for June 18 is Jake Irvin over/under 4.5 strikeouts when he and the Washington Nationals host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
Regarding the betting lines, the Diamondbacks sit at -103 on the moneyline, while the Nationals are slightly favored at -115. The run line shows the Diamondbacks at -1.5 (+157) and the Nationals at +1.5 (-186), offering intriguing betting opportunities for experienced bettors.
In this matchup, the total is set at 9 runs, with odds of -105 for the over and -115 for the under. However, a particularly compelling betting angle focuses on Irvin, the Nationals’ starting pitcher.
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MLB Strikeout Props, Predictions
PRO Projections suggest that taking Irvin under 4.5 strikeouts is a sharp move for several reasons.
Firstly, the model projects Irvin closer to four strikeouts, indicating a slight yet significant edge on the under 4.5 (+110).
Historically, Irvin has struggled to rack up high strikeout numbers consistently, and this particular scenario seems aligned with those trends.
The PRO Projections’ signal is critical here; it contrasts market odds with our internal models to highlight discrepancies favoring the under on Irvin’s strikeout total. This advanced analytics model, which bases its projections on extensive back-testing and current season data, reinforces the value of this bet.
It’s an A- grade on Irvin under the total — the top pick from PRO Projections this morning.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Jake Irvin Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)
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For more coverage of the 2024 MLB season, check out our MLB odds page as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for every matchup.