If you’re looking for some MLB strikeout props for the second day of the season, our baseball betting experts have you covered with five pitcher prop picks for the Friday slate.
Our MLB experts have targeted Jack Leiter in the Red Sox-Rangers game, Tylor Megill and Hunter Brown in the Mets-Astros matchup, Reynaldo Lopez in Braves-Padres and Jack Flaherty against the Dodgers in the nightcap.
If you’re feeling spicy, all of our Friday MLB strikeouts props can be grouped together into a juicy +1802 five-leg parlay.
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MLB Strikeout Props & Parlay — Friday, March 28
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | 8:05 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | 8:10 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | 8:10 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:40 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | 10:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Kyle Murray’s Red Sox vs Rangers Best Bet: Fade Jack Leiter”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jack Leiter Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” awayname=”Boston Red Sox” awayslug=”boston-red-sox” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” homename=”Texas Rangers” homeslug=”texas-rangers” date=”Friday, March 28″ time=”8:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Kyle Murray
There are some people around the Rangers — and in our industry — who are looking to see if Leiter takes a leap this season. And while this is likely going to be a strong strikeout matchup, I think there is some value here with the under sitting at +120.
On Opening Day, Red Sox hitters struck out 13 times, with Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi racking up nine strikeouts.
However, Leiter doesn’t have that level of strikeout stuff — he struck out just 18% of hitters last year.
I also think there is a reasonable chance that the power of this Red Sox lineup gets to Leiter and knocks him out early.
Pick: Jack Leiter Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)
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[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Kyle Murray’s Mets vs Astros Best Bet: Plus-Money Fade”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Tylor Megill Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” awayname=”New York Mets” awayslug=”new-york-mets” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” homename=”Houston Astros” homeslug=”houston-astros” date=”Friday, March 28″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”Apple TV+” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Kyle Murray
Another under at plus-money here as I’m going to fade Tylor Megill in this matchup against the Astros.
Unlike Leiter, Megill did flash good strikeout stuff last season as he had a 26.5% K%.
However, this is a tough spot for him — the projected Astros lineup has a K% of just 19.5%. This projected lineup features six hitters with a K% below 19% so Megill could have a tough time missing bats.
Pick: Tylor Megill Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Kyle Murray’s Mets vs Astros Best Bet: Good Spot for Brown”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-122)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” awayname=”New York Mets” awayslug=”new-york-mets” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” homename=”Houston Astros” homeslug=”houston-astros” date=”Friday, March 28″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”Apple TV+” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]
By Kyle Murray
Hunter Brown’s had an up-and-down start to his career, but he finally settled down and had a good season in 2024.
Last year, he posted a 25% K% with a 9.4 K/9.
There is certainly some danger in this Mets lineup, but there are also some strikeouts to be had here as six of the nine projected starters have a 22% K% or higher against right-handed pitchers.
Pick: Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-122)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Charlie Wright’s Braves vs Padres Best Bet: Worrying Signs for Reynaldo”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Reynaldo Lopez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” awayname=”Atlanta Braves” awayslug=”atlanta-braves” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” homename=”San Diego Padres” homeslug=”san-diego-padres” date=”Friday, March 28″ time=”9:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Charlie Wright
Lopez broke out for the Braves in his return to a starter role last season, but faltered down the stretch.
He battled shoulder inflammation to close the season and there were some concerning signs in Spring Training as he was showing diminished velocity on all of his pitches. He averaged 93.3 mph on his fastball in his final spring start, down from 95.5 mph in 2024.
Lopez threw 135 2/3 innings in 2024 after spending the prior three seasons before that primarily as a reliever. From 2020-23, Lopez maxed out at 65 1/3 innings in a season.
The late-season shoulder issue, followed by diminished Spring Training velocity, is the exact opposite of what you’d want to see with Lopez given his career arc. He finished the spring with a 5:4 K:BB across 13 innings. He maxed out at 72 pitches.
San Diego was the most difficult strikeout matchup in the league for right-handed pitchers in 2024. Its 17.8% K% vs. right-handed pitching was 1.4% lower than the next-closest team (Houston).
Tonight’s projected lineup had a 17.1% K% against righties last season. The Padres should once again be among the most contact-heavy offenses this year.
Pick: Reynaldo Lopez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”5″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Kyle Murray’s Tigers vs Dodgers Best Bet: Flaherty Faces Old Squad”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jack Flaherty Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” awayname=”Detroit Tigers” awayslug=”detroit-tigers” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” homename=”Los Angeles Dodgers” homeslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” date=”Friday, March 28″ time=”10:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Kyle Murray
Jack Flaherty returned to the Tigers over the offseason in free agency after they traded him to the Dodgers midseason last year.
Flaherty was excellent last year for both the Tigers and Dodgers as he had a 30% K% and a 31.3 CSW%.
This is obviously a scary matchup against Los Angeles, but there are some strikeout spots here as only two of its nine projected hitters have a K% below 21% against RHPs.
Pick: Jack Flaherty Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-115)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
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