mlb-best-bets-odds-picks-friday-june-6 Pictured: Ronald Acuna Jr.

MLB Predictions Friday, Best Bets, Prop Picks Tonight

There are a full 15 games on the Friday, June 6 schedule and our MLB betting experts have found the best bets on the board.

Their MLB predictions include a pair of plays on the first game of the day — Marlins vs. Rays — so don’t waste any time and continue reading for today’s MLB best bets.

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MLB Predictions, Best Bets, Props 6/6

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Seattle Mariners” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-seattle-mariners.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] 9:38 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] 10:15 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] 1:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] 1:10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Charlie Wright’s Marlins vs Rays Best Bet: This Line is Too High”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”First 5 Innings Under 5.5 (-146)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” awayname=”Miami Marlins” awayslug=”miami-marlins” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” homename=”Tampa Bay Rays” homeslug=”tampa-bay-rays” date=”Friday, June 6″ time=”1:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

I’m always intrigued by the 5.5 lines, and today’s environment and pitching matchup don’t warrant a number this high. Edward Cabrera and Zack Littell have both pitched well recently and although it’s warm in Tampa, the winds are minimal.

Cabrera was phenomenal in May, posting a 2.00 ERA across five starts. More importantly, he only issued eight walks. Eno Sarris of The Athletic pointed out that Cabrera lowered his arm slot and prioritized his sinker recently. Those adjustments might be behind the improved control. Cabrera has always had good stuff, but the walks have held him back. He’s never had a season with a walk rate below 11%. He’s at 9.6% this season, and it was 7.5% in May.

The Rays have been middling on offense, ranking 17th in OPS and 16th in wOBA against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days. They were 17th in walk rate. The Rays will likely send a bunch of lefties to the plate, which could benefit Cabrera. He’s had reverse splits this season, including a massive 30.1% strikeout rate against lefties.

Littell is on a nice little run himself. He’s allowed three earned runs or less in nine straight starts. Home runs are a concern for Littell, but if the ball stays in the yard, he’s typically effective. The Marlins ranks 21st in wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days. They’re 21st in ISO and 18th in SLG over that stretch. The Marlins have hit the fourth-fewest home runs this season and may not have the pop to exploit Littell’s home run problem.

Pick: First 5 Innings Under 5.5 (-146)



[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Marlins vs Rays Best Bet: Value on Lowe Going Yard”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” awayname=”Miami Marlins” awayslug=”miami-marlins” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” homename=”Tampa Bay Rays” homeslug=”tampa-bay-rays” date=”Friday, June 6″ time=”1:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Grant Neiffer

Brandon Lowe is in a great spot today and his odds are far too high.

The weather in Tampa Bay is great with temperatures in the high 80s, high humidity and winds blowing out at 6 mph. The matchup against Edward Cabrera is an above average one as he’s allowed a 1.19 HR/9 in his career to lefties despite playing in a pitcher friendly ballpark throughout his career.

I have the true odds of Lowe homering today at around +400, making this a great EV bet.

Pick: Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450)



[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Charlie Wright’s Mariners vs Angels Best Bet: Fade Miller”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Bryce Miller Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-seattle-mariners.png” awayname=”Seattle Mariners” awayslug=”seattle-mariners” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” homename=”Los Angeles Angels” homeslug=”los-angeles-angels” date=”Friday, June 6″ time=”9:38 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

I wasn’t sure we’d get a number this high for Bryce Miller the rest of the season. He’s pitching through a bone chip in his elbow and has struggled all season. His first start off the Injured List was a rough one (4 IP, 3 ERs, 2 Ks) and Seattle only let him throw 71 pitches in his return. The fourth inning was actually one of his cleanest, but he got the hook after that and it seemed like there was a clear pitch-count limit.

Miller has also dealt with back issues this season. In one of his final starts before hitting the IL, Miller’s back was so bad that he couldn’t sit down on the bench during the game. The persistent injury issues have torpedoed his strikeout numbers as Miller has a career-low 19.2% strikeout rate and his 9.7% SwStr% and 24.1% CSW% are easily the worst marks of his career. Miller totaled just six strikeouts over his three starts in May.

The glaring factor here is the swing-and-miss of the Angels. They lead the league in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days. However, when they do make contact, they do damage. The Angels are top 10 in OPS, wOBA and wRC+ in that stretch. Miller is already dealing with workload limitations. If he runs into any trouble, it could be a short outing. Long-reliever Casey Lawrence hasn’t pitched since being recalled on May 29th. He should be good to cover several innings.

Pick: Bryce Miller Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135)



[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Braves vs Giants Best Bet: System Backs Braves”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Braves Moneyline (-130)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” awayname=”Atlanta Braves” awayslug=”atlanta-braves” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” homename=”San Francisco Giants” homeslug=”san-francisco-giants” date=”Friday, June 6″ time=”10:15 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

This MLB system identifies regular-season conference matchups in which a favorite is poised for a bounce-back performance.

In this case, the Braves are coming off a recent loss, but market confidence remains firm, with the closing moneyline set between -166 and -127 and public support falling within a moderate range of 25% to 69.5%. The Braves are also on a short losing streak (between one and five games), indicating temporary dip, not collapse.

The theory is that motivated favorites in familiar settings — especially those with recent head-to-head losses and limited momentum — are undervalued by the market in return spots. This strategy exploits those mispriced opportunities by trusting the favorite’s underlying edge despite short-term setbacks.

Overall, teams in this spot have won 64% of the time and produced a 9% ROI. This season, that ROI is up to 13% with these teams posting an 8-4 (67%) record.

Pick: Braves Moneyline (-130)



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