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MLB Predictions, Best Bets, Props, Picks for Sunday, July 13

It’s the final Sunday in Major League Baseball before the All-Star Break, and our experts have delivered with four MLB best bets for July 13.

Below, you can find MLB predictions, props and picks for the following games: Cubs vs Yankees, Nationals vs Brewers, Dodgers vs Giants and Phillies vs Padres.

Check out our MLB best bets and parlay for Sunday.

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MLB Predictions, Props, Best Bets & Picks — 7/13

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”New York Yankees” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png”][/teammatchup] 1:35 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Washington Nationals” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-washington-nationals.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] 2:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] 4:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] 4:10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Cubs vs Yankees Best Bet: Fade Shota”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Shota Imanaga Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+122)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” awayname=”Chicago Cubs” awayslug=”chicago-cubs” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” homename=”New York Yankees” homeslug=”new-york-yankees” date=”Sunday, July 13″ time=”1:35 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga has struggled in the strikeout department this season.

His K% is down at 17.7%, a big drop-off from his excellent rookie season (25.1%). Imanaga’s SwStr% is down 2.9% compared to last season. His 25% CSW% would be among the weakest in the league if he had the innings to qualify — only a dozen qualified starters are below that mark.

Right-handed hitters have been the main culprit for Imanaga’s strikeout struggles. He’s punched out just 14.6% of righties this season.

The impeccable control is still there, and he’s largely kept the ball in the yard, but he’s not striking them out at nearly the same rate as he is lefties (27.3%).

The Yankees have the 11th-lowest strikeout rate against southpaws since the start of May. They also rank fourth in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. It’s a difficult matchup, but it really comes down to the number of righties in the lineup.

The Yankees rolled out a lineup with five righties and four lefties on Saturday against Matthew Boyd. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez was on the bench in favor of lefty Trent Grisham.

Dominguez has been a fixture at the top of the lineup and is having a big July, so it seems like just a scheduled off-day. He’s back in the lineup today.

In three starts since returning from a hamstring injury, Imanaga has topped out at 83 pitches. His outs prop is at 15.5.

The workload ceiling is likely low here, especially ahead of the All-Star break.

Pick: Shota Imanaga Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+122)

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[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Nationals vs Brewers Prop Bet: Brady House Strikeouts”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Brady House Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+230)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-washington-nationals.png” awayname=”Washington Nationals” awayslug=”washington-nationals” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png” homename=”Milwaukee Brewers” homeslug=”milwaukee-brewers” date=”Sunday, July 13″ time=”2:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

By Derek Carty

THE BAT X is forecasting 1.37 hitter strikeouts for the Nationals‘ Brady House. Oddsmakers are implying 1.10 hitter strikeouts, so I believe there is value here.

If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 42% of the time, resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $37.02 (based on a $100 wager).

(Note: The best line is +230 at DraftKings. I like this less at the +195 line at bet365.)

Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!

Pick: Brady House Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+230)



[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Dodgers vs Giants Moneyline Prediction”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Giants Moneyline (+125)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” awayslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” homename=”San Francisco Giants” homeslug=”san-francisco-giants” date=”Sunday, July 13″ time=”4:10 p.m. ET” network=”Roku” bookname=”ESPN BET” bookprimarylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/11/ESPNBET-rect-2colorway-e1700601975338.png” bookreviewslug=”espn-bet”][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

This system targets divisional underdogs in MLB regular-season games that receive low public support but show signs of sharp action or value.

These ‘dogs have moneyline support from less than 30% of bettors, yet still experience little or no negative line movement, suggesting the smart money is holding the line.

Additionally, these bets occur in divisional games, where familiarity and tighter matchups often reduce the gap between underdog and favorite. The bet count is modestly above average, further hinting at targeted action rather than mass public overreaction.

The Giants are coming off a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday — but it was a tight affair with a 2-1 final score. San Francisco will have ace Robbie Ray on the hill against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1474764″ systemname=”Evan Abrams – Low Support Division Dog” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20number%20of%20bets%20compared%20to%20the%20day’s%20average%20is%20between%201.01%20and%203.94%22%2C%22the%20moneyline%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-200%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20moneyline%20%25%20is%20between%208%25%20and%2029%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Division%20game%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Dog%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$16,409″ record=”946-1186-0″ winpct=”44%”][/betlabsembed]

Pick: Giants Moneyline (+125)



[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Phillies vs Padres Moneyline Pick”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Phillies Moneyline (-130)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” awayname=”Philadelphia Phillies” awayslug=”philadelphia-phillies” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” homename=”San Diego Padres” homeslug=”san-diego-padres” date=”Sunday, July 13″ time=”4:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

The Road Tilt in the Dead Heat system targets MLB regular-season games where two evenly matched teams—based on win percentage — meet in a non-division setting, and one is quietly priced as a modest road favorite.

When there’s no clear performance gap, but the market still tilts slightly toward the road team, it suggests underlying confidence from oddsmakers that may not be reflected in public perception.

This model seizes those subtle cues, leaning into narrow value created by near-identical records and overlooked road strength.

The Phillies (54-41) and Padres (52-43) fit the mold with identical records. Philadelphia also has the on-paper starting pitching advantage with Cristopher Sanchez on the hill.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1479163″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Road Tilt in the Dead Heat” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Visitor%20team%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20win%20percent%20differential%20is%20between%20-3%20and%203%22%2C%22the%20closing%20moneyline%20is%20between%20-136%20and%20-121%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Non-Division%20game%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$4,772″ record=”285-176-0″ winpct=”62%”][/betlabsembed]

Pick: Phillies Moneyline (-130)

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