MLB Player Prop Odds, Picks Today

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Padres vs. Reds” center=”true”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” awayname=”San Diego Padres” awayslug=”san-diego-padres” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/cin.png” homename=”Cincinnati Reds” homeslug=”cincinnati-reds” date=”Tuesday, May 21″ time=”6:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV”][/gameheader]

[subheader text=”Andrew Abbott” subtext=”Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/cin.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]

Andrew Abbott has only cleared this number in three of his nine starts this season. He has a tough matchup tonight against the Padres, who are one of the toughest teams to rack up strikeouts against.

Abbott’s strikeout rate this season is 6% lower than it was in his rookie season, and the underlying data supports the drop. He’s getting hitters to chase and to whiff at a much lower rate in general.

Abbott’s best strikeout pitch is his changeup, which has a 32% whiff rate. However, the Padres have the third-lowest strikeout rate in the lowest whiff rate against changeups this season.

I have Abbott staying under 4.5 strikeouts 62% of the time and make the fair odds closer to -165.

Pick: Andrew Abbott Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)

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