MLB picks for Tuesday feature an undervalued road team and an exciting prediction based on Action PRO’s popular ‘blowout’ angle.
As action heats up August 11, bettors get a large slate with fresh series across the league. To help navigate Tuesday’s best bets, we turn to Action PRO Betting Systems and Bet Labs to identify the smartest angles and trends for the day.
Subscribers gain exclusive access to these insights, providing an edge grounded in betting patterns and historical performance.
For MLB Tuesday, I’m highlighting two data-driven moneyline picks: Phillies vs. Reds (6:40 p.m. ET) and Braves vs. Mets (7:10 p.m. ET).
2 MLB Picks for Tuesday
First, let’s dig into the Phillies visiting the Reds at 6:40 p.m. ET. A 64% model popped with a value pick for Tuesday’s second game of the series.
The Phillies are favored on the moneyline, and that’s exactly where Action PRO data leans. Philly, behind starting pitcher Ranger Suarez, is supported by the “Sticky Spot Sweepers” trend dug up by our director of research, Evan Abrams.
This system, hitting 64% since we started tracking, flags confident road favorites in early, in-conference series games. It combines a Pythagorean win rate filter, with environmental factors like high humidity. These conditions tend to suppress offense and reward disciplined, well-prepared road teams accustomed to pressure-packed divisional battles.
Research finds the market often undervalues these sides, and at the price point Tuesday, the Phillies provide a smart value play on the moneyline.
PRO Pick: Phillies Moneyline
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The next pick is taking the Braves moneyline vs. the Mets.
Atlanta is priced a plus-money underdog in the series opener. Here, we’re backing the “Division Momentum: Edge After Blowout” system, which boasts a 51% success rate.
The Braves enter Tuesday’s NL East matchup riding momentum from a dominant 7-1 victory over Miami on Sunday. This model marks teams in division play immediately following a blowout win (by 6 to 21 runs), with a focus on price (-135 to +290 odds).
Considering the 51% win rate, betting the Braves is a sharp look for an upset Tuesday.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1478917″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Division Momentum: Edge After Blowout” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2016%25%20and%2075%25%22%2C%22the%20team%E2%80%99s%20home%2Faway%20streak%20is%20between%20-6%20and%207%20games%22%2C%22the%20closing%20moneyline%20is%20between%20-135%20and%20290%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Division%20game%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20previous%20game%20margin%20is%20between%206%20and%2021%22%2C%22the%20previous%20game%20is%20a%20Division%20game%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$14,265″ record=”914-869-1″ winpct=”51%”][/betlabsembed]
PRO Pick: Braves Moneyline
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