A neat system hitting 69% on MLB picks headlines Thursday’s smartest PRO predictions.
Despite a lighter MLB odds slate Thursday, multiple games fit situational patterns bettors should be aware of.
For August 14, systems in Bet Labs singled out Cubs vs. Blue Jays (3:07 p.m. ET) and Diamondbacks vs. Rockies (8:40 p.m.) as some of the best trends and predictions.
One pick’s on the moneyline, another an over/under selection. Thursday’s betting filters include interleague edges, undervalued sides and more.
Check out both MLB picks Thursday, and get access to all sorts of betting models using PRO.
MLB Picks Thursday: Predictions for Cubs vs. Blue Jays, Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Odds: Blue Jays -110; O/U 8.5
First up is the Cubs vs. Blue Jays, the fourth game of their series featuring two winning teams.
On the mound are Max Scherzer and Matthew Boyd, a matchup that primes us for an under play. Our PRO System identifies unders in interleague games between winning teams, and totals ranging from 7 and 10 runs. These games often feature unfamiliar lineups and pitchers, leading to undervalued run suppression. Additionally, with this being a later-season matchup (game 22+), teams have settled into consistent pitching rhythms.
All these factors make the under 8.5 runs a smart look from the “Interleague Under Edge” trend.
PRO System Pick: Cubs vs. Blue Jays Under 8.5
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds: Diamondbacks -170; O/U 11.5
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The second pick centers on the Diamondbacks to beat the lowly Rockies.
Our PRO System “Fading the Flawed: Road Favorites with Risk” shows value on road favorites whose starting pitchers have inflated ERAs (4.56+) and WHIPs (1.36+), yet remain priced in a cheap range between -225 and -150.
The Dbacks and starter Eduardo Rodriguez fit this profile perfectly. The Rockies, meanwhile, rank as MLB’s worst team this season, by a lot. Bradley Blalock gets the starting pitching nod for Colorado, and he grades out horribly, much less in a hitter-friendly park like Coors Field.
Consensus MLB odds early in the betting cycle Thursday are D-backs -170, with some shops a few cents lower at -168. Historically, these favorites are hot bets.
PRO System Pick: Diamondbacks Moneyline
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