MLB Odds: Mariners vs. Cubs (April 14)
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MLB strikeout props were the hot betting market for PRO Projections last week. Sunday’s top prediction in the late afternoon window is a best bet on Mariners starter Luis Castillo when the Seattle Mariners host the Chicago Cubs at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Castillo and the Mariners are modest home favorites Sunday in the final of a three-game set. Castillo’s strikeout line against the Cubs is over/under 6.5.
PRO MLB Projections make our own strikeout numbers before comparing them to what the betting markets offer. Tonight’s top prediction for Castillo’s strikeouts formulates a Grade-A edge for bettors.
Here’s which way to bet the right-hander’s K prop Sunday, featuring a pick rife with value.
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MLB Picks, Strikeout Props: Sunday’s Top Prediction (April 14)
Castillo has struggled out the gates as he enters Sunday’s nod vs. the Cubs with an 0-3 record after allowing more than eight hits on average per start.
Our advanced betting models signal perhaps another fade of Castillo, with value on under 6.5 strikeouts.
Projections’ fair strikeout total for Castillo Sunday is 5.9. When comparing that number to under 6.5 at a compelling price of +120 at FanDuel, it’s a 17% edge on the right-hander to post six or fewer punchouts.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Luis Castillo Under 6.5 (+120) Strikeouts
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For more coverage of the 2024 MLB season, check out our MLB odds page as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for every matchup.