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MLB Picks Monday, Best Props, Props, Predictions Today – 3/31

The 2025 regular season enters its first Monday of the season, and our baseball experts are all over the 14-game slate with MLB picks and props for Twins vs White Sox, Rockies vs Phillies, Giants vs Astros, Tigers vs Mariners and Braves vs Dodgers.

MLB best bets for Monday include three pitcher props and two spread picks — find all those picks and a parlay below.

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MLB Picks, Props, Best Bets — Monday, March 31

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Minnesota Twins” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png” secondfullname=”Chicago White Sox” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/cws.png”][/teammatchup] 2:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] 3:05 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”San Francisco Giants” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] 8:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Seattle Mariners” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-seattle-mariners.png”][/teammatchup] 9:40 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] 10:10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Twins vs White Sox Best Bet: Fade Martin Perez”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Martin Perez Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png” awayname=”Minnesota Twins” awayslug=”minnesota-twins” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/cws.png” homename=”Chicago White Sox” homeslug=”chicago-white-sox” date=”Monday, March 31″ time=”2:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]

By Derek Carty

There may be some value on Perez’s strikeouts prop.

THE BAT X is projecting him to record 3.25 strikeouts, and oddsmakers are implying 4.00.

The model believes there is a 60% chance he records fewer than four punchouts. If you can get the under at +125 or better, there is great value.

Pick: Martin Perez Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125)



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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Kyle Murray’s Rockies vs Phillies Best Bet: All Phils”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Phillies -1.5 (-112)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” awayname=”Colorado Rockies” awayslug=”colorado-rockies” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” homename=”Philadelphia Phillies” homeslug=”philadelphia-phillies” date=”Monday, March 31″ time=”3:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

By Kyle Murray

The Phillies have the advantage across the board, as they have the much better offensive lineup, and I give them a pretty significant edge with Cristopher Sanchez on the bump compared to German Marquez.

Marquez is a heavy ground-ball pitcher, but he gives up a ton of hard contact. This Phillies team is great at elevating the ball, with seven of their nine projected starters having above-average fly-ball and line-drive rates. That could lead to trouble for Marquez.

Sanchez had a great season in 2024, and I am very excited for his 2025 campaign. Sanchez is elite at limiting power; he held hitters to a .103 ISO and a .291 wOBA thanks to his elite ground-ball production.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-112)



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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Giants vs Astros Best Bet: Jordan Hicks Walks”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jordan Hicks Under 1.5 Walks (+150)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” awayname=”San Francisco Giants” awayslug=”san-francisco-giants” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” homename=”Houston Astros” homeslug=”houston-astros” date=”Monday, March 31″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]

By Derek Carty

There may be some value on Hicks’ walks allowed prop.

THE BAT X is projecting him to record 1.51 walks allowed, and oddsmakers are implying 1.94.

The model believes there is a 55% chance he records fewer than two walks. If you can get the under at +150 or better, there is great value.

Pick: Jordan Hicks Under 1.5 Walks (+150)

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Jim Turvey’s Tigers vs Mariners Best Bet: Hancock Strikeouts”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Emerson Hancock Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” awayname=”Detroit Tigers” awayslug=”detroit-tigers” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-seattle-mariners.png” homename=”Seattle Mariners” homeslug=”seattle-mariners” date=”Monday, March 31″ time=”9:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Jim Turvey

The Tigers have been striking out at comical rates to start the 2025 season, so this is a bit of a scary proposition — but there’s actually a lot pointing to the under.

For one, Detroit was a worse-than-average strikeout team against RHP last season, but not nearly this four-game-sample level –that will come back to earth. The Tigers have a projected lineup with more lefties than righties, but the bigger part of this cap is on the Hancock side.

The young pitcher has struggled to generate strikeouts at the major-league level (14.3% whiff rate), and that’s underlined by one of the worst swinging-strike rates in baseball. He especially struggles to generate whiffs against lefties, who, as we noted, should be prevalent in this lineup.

Hancock’s pitch count should also remain low, with the righty having reached only 66 pitches in Spring Training and the Mariners going light on pitch counts for starters the first time through this season.

Pick: Emerson Hancock Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)



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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Jorge Gonzalez’s Braves vs Dodgers Best Bet: LA Spread Pick”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Dodgers -1.5 (+110)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” awayname=”Atlanta Braves” awayslug=”atlanta-braves” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” homename=”Los Angeles Dodgers” homeslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” date=”Monday, March 31″ time=”10:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Jorge Gonzalez

The Dodgers and the Braves are going in different directions.

The Dodgers remain undefeated, winning by an average of 2.8 runs per game. In contrast, the Braves have lost all four of their games this season by an average of 1.75 runs per contest.

The Dodgers will be sending Tyler Glasnow to the mound for his first start of the season. As a favorite with odds ranging from -175 to -250, Glasnow boasts an impressive record of 27-3.

Lay the 1.5 runs.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+110)