One of the recommended betting strategies among our expert MLB picks is taking a contrarian approach. Who’s ready to go against the grain?
Among the many PRO Systems available to subscribers—these are backtested betting trends anchored in historical data—one of the key insights is to fade the public. Historically, utilizing this system has been shown to be profitable.
Fading the public is an extensive discussion, but the method is pretty straightforward for today’s MLB predictions.
We systematically collect samples of betting data, specifically focusing on tickets and money rolling in. Notably, the monetary data tends to carry more weight in our evaluations. Whenever the public overwhelmingly bets on a popular side, it becomes an opportunity to exploit potential edges by betting against that pick. This contrarian philosophy is particularly potent on days like today where multiple games were flagged.
For today’s slate, three intriguing matchups fit the criteria laid out by our contrarian betting strategy: Mets vs. Diamondbacks, Braves vs. Phillies and Royals vs. Astros.
These matchups showcase situations where public sentiment might be swaying one way, but historical data and backtested strategies suggest a different story.
MLB Picks and Contrarian Over/Under Predictions for Thursday
It’s one of the longest-standing MLB systems we’ve used to uncover edges.
According to the “Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams” PRO System, the best bet is often the under when two winning MLB teams clash, and more than 66% of betting tickets in our trackers favor the over.
Historically, this betting approach has boasted a successful win rate around 54%, making it a reliable, consistent strategy.
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Here are tonight’s MLB picks which match the over/under system.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Contrarian Pick
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We’ve logged a chunky 88% of the tickets on the over, marking a perfect “under” bet in a 3:40 p.m. ET NL clash
PRO System Pick: Mets vs. Diamondbacks Under
Braves vs. Phillies Contrarian Pick
Atlanta’s cashed better than 60% of unders this season. Here’s another good spot to bet a low-scoring game, with 74% of the public expecting a high-scoring game between the division rivals.
PRO System Pick: Braves vs. Phillies Under
Royals vs. Astros Contrarian Pick
Finally, the third contrarian approach is the Royals vs. Astros under. Both clubs are both top-10 leaguewide for unders. Tonight, we’ve tracked 84% of tickets on over.
PRO System Pick: Royals vs. Astros Under
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