MLB Picks, Props, Predictions, Best Bets for Friday 5/30

Another exciting MLB weekend gets started with 15 games on Friday, May 30.

With all 30 teams in action, there are plenty of potential betting opportunities. Our betting experts have already looked over the board and found value in four MLB picks and props — two player props, a first five innings team total and a moneyline play for Angels vs Guardians, Tigers vs Royals, and Cardinals vs Rangers.

Be sure to continue reading as today’s MLB best bets — and a parlay of all our picks — are below.

[quickslipbasic bookname=”Fanatics” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/573837_FanaticsSportsbook20ALT.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/05/Screenshot-2025-05-30-at-7.23.04%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Parlay These Picks Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://www.scoresandodds.com/all/parlay?quickslip=1&onelink=/5kut/5pzyja4f?sharedBy=QS_0105&ref=10001″][/quickslipbasic]

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MLB Best Bets, Picks, Props, Predictions

Game	Time (ET)	Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” secondfullname=”Cleveland Guardians” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cleveland-guardians.png”][/teammatchup]	7:10 p.m.	Luis L. Ortiz Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”St. Louis Cardinals” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-st-louis-cardinals.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup]	8:05 p.m.	Texas Rangers 1st Half Under 2.5 Team Total (-145)
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Royals” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png”][/teammatchup]	8:10 p.m.	Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-136)
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Royals” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png”][/teammatchup]	8:10 p.m.	Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-118)
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Will Priester’s Angels vs Guardians Best Bet: Continue to Fade Angels’ Lineup”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Luis L. Ortiz Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Angels” awayslug=”los-angeles-angels” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cleveland-guardians.png” homename=”Cleveland Guardians” homeslug=”cleveland-guardians” date=”Friday, May 30″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

By Will Priester

I want to attack the Angels’ lineup as often as I can.

There are several bats in the projected lineup (seven to be exact) with a strikeout rate over 25% against right-handed pitching this season. Some have smaller sample sizes than others, but the fact still remains that this team is striking out at an enormous clip.

Luis L. Ortiz is having a nice season in the strikeout department and has a 25% K rate to both sides of the plate. He’s giving up some power to the left side, but I trust him to get us the six we need to win this prop.

Pick: Luis L. Ortiz Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” secondfullname=”Cleveland Guardians” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cleveland-guardians.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”St. Louis Cardinals” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-st-louis-cardinals.png” secondfullname=”Texas Rangers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Royals” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Royals” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png”][/teammatchup]

[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Charlie Wright’s Cardinals vs Rangers Best Bet: Back Liberatore, Cardinals”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Texas Rangers 1st Half Under 2.5 Team Total (-145)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-st-louis-cardinals.png” awayname=”St. Louis Cardinals” awayslug=”st.-louis-cardinals” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” homename=”Texas Rangers” homeslug=”texas-rangers” date=”Friday, May 30″ time=”8:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

Matthew Liberatore hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start since April 7. He’s quietly been one of the most dominant pitchers in the league since the second week of the season. You could certainly take Liberatore’s earned runs prop at 2.5 (-115), but you might be sweating an extra two innings as he’s gone 6+ innings in all but two starts and he’s completed seven innings twice this month. I’d rather eat the -145 on the first five innings team total and not have to worry about the later innings.

Liberatore is succeeding with pristine command, both in the zone and outside of it. He’s third among qualified starters with a 3.4% walk rate. When he does throw balls, he’s getting swings. Liberatore ranks 92nd percentile in chase rate. That’s a lethal combination. Liberatore is throwing six pitches at least 10% of the time, and four of them have positive run values. It’s a deep arsenal and he seems to be employing it perfectly. His ERA estimators are all within 0.75 of his 2.73 ERA.

Texas has been one of the weakest offenses in the league against lefties. The Rangers rank 28th in wRC+ and 29th in OPS and wOBA vs. LHP this season. They’re 25th in first five innings scoring.

Pick: Texas Rangers 1st Half Under 2.5 Team Total (-145)

[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Chris Prince’s Tigers vs Royals Best Bet: Matchup Favors Mize”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-136)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” awayname=”Detroit Tigers” awayslug=”detroit-tigers” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png” homename=”Kansas City Royals” homeslug=”kansas-city-royals” date=”Friday, May 30″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Chris Prince

Kansas City doesn’t present the easiest strikeout matchup on the board, but we are getting a great price here on FanDuel, and this game actually lines up pretty well for Casey Mize.

He has gone over this number in six of his eight starts this season, including posting 23 strikeouts over his past four starts. While he only had three strikeouts in his last start against the Royals, their projected lineup features five lefties, and Mize has a solid 29% strikeout rate against lefties this season.

This prop is up near -160 on most other books, so I’m grabbing the discount here on a pretty low bar at 3.5 strikeouts.

Pick: Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-136)

[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Brit Devine’s Tigers vs Royals Best Bet: Tigers Show Value in AL Central Matchup”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-118)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” awayname=”Detroit Tigers” awayslug=”detroit-tigers” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png” homename=”Kansas City Royals” homeslug=”kansas-city-royals” date=”Friday, May 30″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Brit Devine

The Tigers, by a decent margin, have both the better starting pitcher and offense in this game. At these odds, we need to attack a weak Royals’ offense and a starter who is pitching way above his head.

Kansas City’s Seth Lugo outperformed his estimators last year by a decent margin, but this year he has taken it to an extreme level with underlying metrics that look like that of a backend MLB starter, compared to his 3.02 ERA. On the other hand, Tigers starter Casey Mize has metrics that back up his strong performances on the mound.

The Tigers’ offense is also much better than the Royals as Kansas City has one of the least explosive lineups in the league. With the bullpens looking relatively even, I would price this out closer to -140.

Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-118)

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