Some Mondays on the baseball calendar can be barren, but today is not one of those days. The slate for Monday, May 19 features 12 games and a plethora of betting opportunities.
Our betting experts have looked over the latest MLB odds and offered up their MLB best bets, picks, props and predictions for today.
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MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today’s slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Miami Marlins” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png”][/teammatchup] | 6:40 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”Colorado Rockies” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png”][/teammatchup] | 8:40 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | 10:10 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | 10:10 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Cubs vs Marlins Best Bet: Strong Value on Tucker Today”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Kyle Tucker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” awayname=”Chicago Cubs” awayslug=”chicago-cubs” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” homename=”Miami Marlins” homeslug=”miami-marlins” date=”Monday, May 19″ time=”6:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]
I don’t love the ballpark, but the matchup and the odds more than make up for it.
KyleTucker has been fantastic to start the season with 10 homers thus far and his underlying numbers have been on par with last season, when he had 23 homers over 78 games. The matchup vs. Edward Cabrera is a good one as Cabrera has allowed an above average 1.24 HR/9 in his career to lefties.
I have the true odds of Tucker homering today at around +400, which makes this a great EV bet.
Pick: Kyle Tucker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Miami Marlins” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”Colorado Rockies” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Will Priester’s Phillies vs Rockies Best Bet: Back Sanchez vs. Rockies”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-154)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” awayname=”Philadelphia Phillies” awayslug=”philadelphia-phillies” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” homename=”Colorado Rockies” homeslug=”colorado-rockies” date=”Monday, May 19″ time=”8:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
By Will Priester
The Rockies have continued to be a high-strikeout offense this season. I understand that this game is at Coors Field, but I still trust Cristopher Sanchez to get it done.
He has a 28.4% strikeout rate this season and I expect the strikeouts to be on full display with several high-strikeout bats in the Rockies’ lineup.
Pick: Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-154)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Miami Marlins” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”Colorado Rockies” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Pick: Back Pfaadt in LA”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-150)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” awayname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” awayslug=”arizona-diamondbacks” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” homename=”Los Angeles Dodgers” homeslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” date=”Monday, May 19″ time=”10:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 1.61 walks allowed for Brandon Pfaadt compared to the 2.26 walks allowed implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 79% of the time, resulting in a 32% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $47.55.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-150)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Miami Marlins” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”Colorado Rockies” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Dead President Pick’s Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Best Bet: Dodgers Should Get Back on Track”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Dodgers Moneyline (-150)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” awayname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” awayslug=”arizona-diamondbacks” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” homename=”Los Angeles Dodgers” homeslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” date=”Monday, May 19″ time=”10:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]
By Dead President Picks
The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-22) and Los Angeles Dodgers (29-18) will clash in the city of Angels on Monday Night in an NL West showdown.
The Snakes have won six of their past 10 games and are led by Eugenio Suarez’s 14 home runs and 37 RBI. Meanwhile, 26-year-old Brandon Pfaadt (6-3, 3.73 ERA) will toe the rubber tonight.
As for the Dodgers, Dave Roberts’ team leads the division by one game, but will be attempting to snap a three-game losing streak after being swept by the Angels over the weekend.
Freddie Freeman leads the team as he’s batting .371 with 34 RBI and Landon Knack (2-1, 5.89 ERA) will get the start on the mound.
After they were swept this weekend, I love the Dodgers in a bounce-back spot tonight.
The Dodgers have solid numbers against Pfaadt, batting .286 over 98 at-bats, while Knack has held the D-backs to a .107 batting average over 28 at-bats.
Pick: Dodgers Moneyline (-150)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Miami Marlins” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”Colorado Rockies” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png”][/teammatchup] |
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