There are 10 games on the slate for Monday, July 7 and our MLB betting experts have dug through all of them.
While there is no shortage of betting opportunities — and value can likely be found in every game — our experts have honed in on a trio of games to find today’s MLB best bets.
Today’s top MLB picks, props and predictions are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today’s slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Boston Red Sox” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png”][/teammatchup] | 7:10 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] | 7:40 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:45 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:45 p.m. | |
|
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Rockies vs Red Sox Pick: Moniak Showing Value”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs (+750)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” awayname=”Colorado Rockies” awayslug=”colorado-rockies” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” homename=”Boston Red Sox” homeslug=”boston-red-sox” date=”Monday, July 7″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Mickey Moniak’s home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.20 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.13. The model believes there is a 17% chance he hit at least one homer, so there is value on the over at +750.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs (+750)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Boston Red Sox” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Dodgers vs Brewers Best Bet: System Suggests Under”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 7.5 (+100)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” awayslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png” homename=”Milwaukee Brewers” homeslug=”milwaukee-brewers” date=”Monday, July 7″ time=”7:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
By Bet Labs
The “Wind Whisper Unders” system is built for MLB totals where weather and market signals quietly align toward the under. It targets regular season games from 2020-2025 where the closing total falls between 7-10 runs — a range that allows for variance, but avoids extremes.
This strategy also hones in on games with a specific weather profile: wind blowing from left, in from right, or straight in, with speeds between 3-15 miles per hour. Combined with moderate temperatures between 30-70 degrees, these environmental conditions help suppress deep fly balls without overly skewing the market.
Line movement also plays a role as the total must have dropped by up to 2.5 runs from open to close, signaling steady downward pressure from sharp bettors. Importantly, the public is not fully behind the under in these cases, which indicates market resistance and helps ensure the number isn’t over-adjusted.
This system consistently identifies games where offense is subtly — but significantly — less likely to break out.
Overall, this system has cashed 60% of its picks (481-316-44) and generated a 15% ROI. This season, it has also converted 60% of its picks (96-65-6) and produced a 13% ROI.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1486201″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Wind Whisper Unders” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%201%25%20and%2055%25%22%2C%22the%20average%20wind%20speed%20is%20between%203%20and%2015%20mph%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%207%20and%2010%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20during%20the%202025%20or%202024%20or%202023%20or%202022%20or%202021%20or%202020%20season%22%2C%22the%20o%2Fu%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-2.5%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2030%20and%2070%20degrees%22%2C%22the%20wind%20direction%20is%20From%20Left%20or%20In%20or%20From%20Right%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$12,876″ record=”481-316-44″ winpct=”60%”][/betlabsembed]
Pick: Under 7.5 (+100)
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/07/Screenshot-2025-07-07-at-6.55.54%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Parlay These Picks Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1671834827&deeplinkId[1]=ML1670662123&deeplinkId[2]=ML1671363316&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Boston Red Sox” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Phillies vs Giants Best Bet: Value on Tonight’s Over/Under”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 7 (-102)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” awayname=”Philadelphia Phillies” awayslug=”philadelphia-phillies” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” homename=”San Francisco Giants” homeslug=”san-francisco-giants” date=”Monday, July 7″ time=”9:45 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Bet Labs
This “Night time Unders with Wind and Recency Bias” system has generated a 20% ROI (40-24, 63%) this season and a 10% ROI (1479-1122-140, 57%) lifetime. Those numbers are obviously promising, but what exactly is this system looking for?
Well, it targets evening games in which public interest in the over is muted, the home team’s scoring has recently run slightly hot and subtle environmental signals align with lower-scoring outcomes. It looks for games that start between 7:00 and 11:59 PM ET in which the market over percentage sits below 50, suggesting minimal public pressure on inflated totals. Additionally, the wind direction — whether blowing in, across the field, or neutral — paired with moderate temperatures between 26-74 degrees, introduces natural resistance to run scoring.
When layered together, these filters isolate a soft edge in a game environment where bettors overlook the under due to recency bias and a lack of extreme public conviction.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1479151″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Night time Unders with Wind and Recency Bias” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20home%20team’s%205%20Game%20over%20percentage%20is%20between%2020%25%20and%2067%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20previous%20game%20OU%20margin%20is%20between%20-9%20and%20-1.5%22%2C%22the%20wind%20direction%20is%20To%20Left%20or%20In%20or%20Right%20To%20Left%20or%20Left%20to%20Right%20or%20To%20Right%20or%20From%20Right%20or%20From%20Left%20or%20Left%20To%20Right%20or%20None%22%2C%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2026%20and%2074%20degrees%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%202%20and%20160%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2035%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20money%20is%20between%20-240%20and%20135%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%202%25%20and%2050%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20started%20between%2019%3A00%20and%2023%3A59%20ET%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$27,376″ record=”1479-1122-140″ winpct=”57%”][/betlabsembed]
Pick: Under 7 (-102)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Boston Red Sox” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Dead President Picks’ Phillies vs Giants Best Bet: Back Both Starters”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 7 (-102)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” awayname=”Philadelphia Phillies” awayslug=”philadelphia-phillies” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” homename=”San Francisco Giants” homeslug=”san-francisco-giants” date=”Monday, July 7″ time=”9:45 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]
We will see two strong arms on the mound tonight.
The Phillies will hand the rock to southpaw Cristopher Sanchez, who has quietly been dominant this season, posting a 7-2 record with a 2.68 ERA, which ranks 14th in baseball.
Opposing Sanchez will be right-hander Landen Roupp, who has been outstanding at home this year with a 1.85 ERA, compared to a 4.56 mark on the road.
I anticipate another strong outing from both starters, setting the tone for this game to go under.
Pick: Under 7 (-102)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” secondfullname=”Boston Red Sox” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”Milwaukee Brewers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mil.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” secondfullname=”San Francisco Giants” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png”][/teammatchup] |
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