mlb-best-bets-odds-picks-predictions-july-31 Pictured: Will Benson (right) celebrates with Elly De La Cruz

MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – July 31

Today’s slate is small as there are just 3 MLB games on the schedule. However, there’s still betting value to be found.

Our MLB betting experts have found a pair of bets worth targeting in Braves vs. Reds, so be sure to continue reading as today’s MLB best bets are below.

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MLB Best Bets Today

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today’s slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”Cincinnati Reds” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cincinnati-reds.png”][/teammatchup] 7:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Atlanta Braves” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” secondfullname=”Cincinnati Reds” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cincinnati-reds.png”][/teammatchup] 7:10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Braves vs Reds Pick: Value in Fading Abbott”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Andrew Abbott Under 17.5 Outs (+120)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” awayname=”Atlanta Braves” awayslug=”atlanta-braves” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cincinnati-reds.png” homename=”Cincinnati Reds” homeslug=”cincinnati-reds” date=”Thursday, July 31″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”Caesars Sportsbook” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars-sportsbook”][/gameheader]

By Derek Carty

There may be some value on Andrew Abbott’s pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 15.27 pitching outs, and oddsmakers are implying 17.54. The model believes there is a 67% chance he records fewer than 18 pitching outs. If you can get the under at +120 or better, there is great value here.

Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!

Pick: Andrew Abbott Under 17.5 Outs (+120)



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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Braves vs Reds Best Bet: System Backs Reds”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Reds Moneyline (-167)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” awayname=”Atlanta Braves” awayslug=”atlanta-braves” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-cincinnati-reds.png” homename=”Cincinnati Reds” homeslug=”cincinnati-reds” date=”Thursday, July 31″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

This system identifies winning teams that are performing steadily, but not drawing overwhelming market attention. This system targets teams, with at least a breakeven win rate, that are coming off a modest, but positive result — having won their previous game by between one and seven runs.

Their prior moneyline price indicates they weren’t heavy favorites — just expected to win. When they return as moderate favorites again, and have a consistent streak of games either home or away, it suggests controlled momentum rather than volatility. The setup capitalizes on teams that are undervalued by the public due to their lack of flashy blowouts or extreme winning streaks, offering value where confidence exceeds perception.

Overall, this system is 329-163 (67%) and has generated an 11% ROI. This season, that ROI has jumped to 23% as the system is cashing 73% of its picks (16-6)

[betlabsembed systemid=”1479160″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Quiet Confidence System” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2050%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20previous%20game%20margin%20is%20between%201%20and%207%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20moneyline%20in%20their%20previous%20game%20was%20between%20100%20and%20171%22%2C%22the%20closing%20moneyline%20is%20between%20-235%20and%20-125%22%2C%22the%20team%E2%80%99s%20home%2Faway%20streak%20is%20between%202%20and%208%20games%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$5,616″ record=”329-163-0″ winpct=”67%”][/betlabsembed]

Pick: Reds Moneyline (-167)



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