There are 9 games, including a doubleheader, on Thursday’s MLB slate and our MLB betting experts have already sifted through the odds to find the best bets on the board.
Our experts are targeting a variety of MLB prop picks today and have strikeout, home run and walk picks.
So, be sure to continue reading as tonight’s MLB best bets are below.
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MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today’s slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:29 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:29 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” secondfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png”][/teammatchup] | 9:40 p.m. | |
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] | 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Derek Carty’s Pirates vs Angels Pick: Value on Reynolds”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Walks (+215)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” awayname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” awayslug=”pittsburgh-pirates” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” homename=”Los Angeles Angels” homeslug=”los-angeles-angels” date=”Thursday, April 24″ time=”9:29 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Bryan Reynolds’ walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.55 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.36. The model believes there is a 43% chance he records at least one walk, so there is value on the over at +215.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Walks (+215)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” secondfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Pirates vs Angels Best Bet: Back Cruz to Keep Crushing”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs (+390)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” awayname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” awayslug=”pittsburgh-pirates” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” homename=”Los Angeles Angels” homeslug=”los-angeles-angels” date=”Thursday, April 24″ time=”9:29 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
This is a lefty/lefty matchup and Oneil Cruz has struggled with lefties in the past, but I don’t really care because it’s Tyler Anderson.
Anderson has some pretty massive reverse splits and has been crushed by lefty power his his career. Anderson owns a large 1.39 HR/9 in his career against lefties and that number has been sitting close to two over the past few years.
Cruz is also one of the most powerful bats in the league and gets a ballpark upgrade today playing over in Anaheim. I have the true odds of Cruz homering today at around +340, making this a good EV bet.
Pick: Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs (+390)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” secondfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Jim Turvey’s Rays vs Diamondbacks Best Bet: Fade Burnes”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Corbin Burnes Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” awayname=”Tampa Bay Rays” awayslug=”tampa-bay-rays” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png” homename=”Arizona Diamondbacks” homeslug=”arizona-diamondbacks” date=”Thursday, April 24″ time=”9:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Jim Turvey
While he’s still produced decent overall results, the 2025 season has continued a long trend of Corbin Burnes’ dropping strikeout rate. Here are Burnes’ strikeout rates over the past six seasons: 36.7%, 35.6%, 30.5%, 25.5%, 23.1% and 18.5%. That’s an incredibly clear arc, and it pairs with both his swinging-strike rate (down from 16.6% to 8.8% over that stretch) and stuff drops (125 to 103) as well.
As a result, Burnes has tallied just three strikeouts each of his past three starts after an eight-strikeout performance in his season debut, which is beginning to look like an outlier.
The Rays strike out at a rate that is slightly below average against right-handed pitching and are the fourth-best overall offense against right-handers, which are also both signs toward liking this under. RotoGrinders’ projections have Burnes pegged for just 4.63 strikeouts, making this one of the bigger edges on the board today.
Pick: Corbin Burnes Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” secondfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Rangers vs Athletics Best Bet: Rooker Against deGrom?”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Brent Rooker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” awayname=”Texas Rangers” awayslug=”texas-rangers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png” homename=”Oakland Athletics” homeslug=”oakland-athletics” date=”Thursday, April 24″ time=”10:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
If you would have told me I’d be betting Brent Rooker to get a homer at this number vs. Jacob deGrom I probably wouldn’t have believed you, but DeGrom isn’t the same pitcher he used to be. His strikeout rate is down, the fly ball numbers are up over 50% and he just doesn’t look like the same pitcher.
He hasn’t given up any bombs to righties this season, but Rooker is great and DeGrom’s HR/FB variance should hit him pretty hard. Additionally, this ballpark is great for power and the wind is blowing out at 10 mph today. I have the true odds of Rooker homering about 50 points lower, which makes this a great EV bet.
Pick: Brent Rooker Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425)
[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Pirates” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” secondfullname=”Arizona Diamondbacks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ari.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] |
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