Our insightful MLB Weather tab is key to two picks Wednesday – including home runs!
For instance, PRO Report reveals sharp bets rolling in on one of the windiest games of the day.
The highlight of MLB Wednesday, meanwhile, is perhaps a +500 home run pick from our predictive betting models. In this matchup, the wind is blowing directly out.
Let’s take a deeper dive into a pair of weather-related MLB picks to lock in, using a variety of key PRO insights.
MLB Odds: Weather Picks for 5/14
Today’s picks start at 6:40 p.m. ET and 10:10 p.m.
Our first selection focuses on the Red Sox versus Tigers under seven runs when ace Tarik Skubal and Detroit host Hunter Dobbins and Boston.
A steady seven mph wind is blowing straight in at Comerica Park, a factor historically correlated with lower run totals. According to the PRO System “Weather Blowing In” model, games with winds of 5 miles per hour or greater pushing in tend to finish under the total 54% of the time since tracking. This trend is reinforced by sharp bettors, who are wagering on the under, a movement tracked by PRO’s real-time betting data.
The combination of pitching, late spring weather conditions, and the wind pattern indicates that this game is likely to stay low-scoring, giving under bettors an edge.
PRO Pick: Under 7
Our second weather-based pick shifts to the player prop market, spotlighting Brent Rooker to hit a home run in the Athletics vs. Dodgers matchup.
With a six mph wind blowing outward at Dodger Stadium—ranked as the second-best park for home runs this season—conditions favor power hitters. Rooker comes in at +500 odds on BetMGM, and PRO’s projections estimate a 0.25 expected home run rate for him tonight, translating into roughly a 5.5% betting edge. Given the ballpark’s hitter-friendly environment and favorable wind, this long-shot prop bet offers appealing value for those looking to add some excitement to their MLB picks tonight.
PRO Pick: Brent Rooker HR (+500)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.