Interested in trying Action PRO’s premium tools and betting software for FREE? For a limited time, click here and use promo code “July4th” to get one free week of Action PRO!
Today is one of the busiest travel days of the year, which can mean plenty of downtime in cars, airports, planes, trains and more.
I will be one of many heading out for the Fourth of July holiday today and have decided to pass the time with some Thursday MLB action.
To do so, I’ll leverage Action PRO’s betting tools and software to break down the latest MLB odds.
And after doing just that, here are three MLB predictions for Thursday that have caught my eye, including a moneyline getting pounded by sharp money, a massive player prop edge and an over/under that’s priced a half-run too low.
MLB Odds, 3 Predictions for Thursday
*Odds as of Thursday morning
Twins vs. Marlins Prediction
12:10 p.m. ET | MNNT
Right out of the gate we have Twins vs. Marlins and the sharps wasted no time pouncing on this matchup.
Minnesota is currently a -120 favorite against Miami according to live MLB odds.
However, pro bettors have steamed the Marlins on three occasions this far, driving the line from its opener of +115 down to the current consensus of +102.
In addition, Miami has landed a whopping 86% of the money wagered on this moneyline, but on just 44% of the tickets, another sign that the largest bets are backing the underdog.
PRO Pick: Miami +105 — BetMGM
Astros vs. Rockies Prediction
3:10 p.m. ET | MLB Network
When it comes to mid-afternoon action, I’m turning to Action PRO’s player prop projections and Brandon Walter’s strikeout over/under, specifically.
While listed at 4.5 strikeouts, and a vig of +115 to the over, PRO projects Walter to whiff 5.26 batters today, which translates to a very enticing 13.7% edge — the largest of any player prop on Thursday’s slate.
PRO Pick: Brandon Walter Over 4.5 (+115) Strikeouts — DraftKings
Tigers vs. Nationals Prediction
6:45 p.m. ET | MASN
Action PRO’s biggest moneyline or over/under edge of the day comes via the Tigers vs. Nationals total, which is listed at 9.5.
In fact, this line has already increased a half-run from the opener of 9, but even after that move, Action PRO’s projection of 10 provides a 3.7% edge for value-minded bettors.
PRO Pick: Over 9.5 (+100) — bet365
_InlineAdBlock