The 2025 US Open gets underway on Thursday and will draw most of the attention (and action) from recreational sports bettors, but let’s not forget about the daily MLB grind, either.
Value is value no matter where you can find it, and when it comes to live MLB odds for Thursday’s slate, Nationals vs. Mets (1:10 p.m. ET, MASN) is popping while the masses are preoccupied with golf.
Specifically, Action PRO is tracking big bets coming in on one of the biggest betting model edges of the day.
So, without further ado, let’s dive into the MLB edge that’s yielding significant returns for today’s Nationals vs. Mets matinee.
MLB Odds, Sharpest Pick for Nationals vs. Mets
*Odds as of Thursday morning
According to the latest MLB odds, the Mets are massive -250 favorites against the Nationals as of the time of writing, with the over/under sitting between 8 and 8.5, depending on the sportsbook.
When it comes to the total, our MLB betting percentages are tracking 54% of tickets coming in on the over thus far. However, Action PRO’s real money data is reporting that 67% of the money is on the under instead.
A bets-versus-dollars difference this large tips us off that the larger wagers are backing a lower-scoring game.
Additionally, Action PRO’s MLB Projections yield a line of 7.71, which translates to a 4.2% underdog edge when compared to the current consensus total of 8.5.
With that said, it’s essential to note that a handful of sportsbooks, such as DraftKings and BetMGM, have lowered this number to 8, so be sure to shop for the best odds if you’re considering pouncing on today’s Nationals vs. Mets under.
PRO Pick: Under 8.5 — bet365
_InlineAdBlock