It’s going to be very windy up and down the East Coast on Tuesday, which should be top of mind for bettors breaking down MLB odds.
Specifically, double-digit winds are expected to impact a handful of games tonight, including the very weather-dependent Citi Field in New York.
But simply knowing which games will be windy isn’t enough — the direction of these breezes is imperative when pinpointing the smartest MLB picks.
Thankfully, Action PRO’s MLB weather data, combined with Bet Labs’ historical database of how wind impacts scoring, can point us to a system that has produced a 105-69-6 record (60.3% win rate) dating back to the 2005 season.
MLB Odds, Pick for Diamondbacks vs. Mets
*Odds as of Tuesday morning
As mentioned above, the winds will be howling for Diamondbacks vs. Mets (7:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network) at Citi Field.
Steady 12 mph breezes are expected throughout tonight’s game, creating a very interesting opportunity for savvy bettors.
But as always, it’s the direction of the wind that matters most.
According to Action PRO’s MLB weather data, we know that the wind will be blowing straight out to center field, which could obviously have a positive impact on scoring by carrying well-hit fly balls over the wall for home runs.
In fact, overs are 105-69-6 at Citi Field in games played with temperatures of at least 48 degrees (the temperature for tonight’s game is around 70 degrees) and winds of at least 11 mph blowing out from home plate, based on Bet Labs’ historical data.
This total has settled in at 8.5 as of the time of writing, but don’t be surprised to see it climb toward 9 as more bettors become aware of tonight’s forecast.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-115) — DraftKings
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