I’m building two home run parlays for MLB Wednesday: one in the early window, and another in the late slate.
This article features picks in the Pirates vs. Cardinals (1:15 p.m. ET) and Giants vs. Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET) games, going off at +575 and +825. Combining both MLB odds produces a +5660 home run parlay for 5/7 at FanDuel, too. Bettors can instantly tail the slip below.
Both parlays and all predictions today will revolve around our predictive PRO MLB Projections.
Our premium home run betting models unlock some serious insights into which hitters are great bets, or provide value, to go yard.
Crunching the odds and factoring in other key nuggets, here’s who I’m rolling with in the early slate to clear the fences.
MLB Odds: Early Slate Home Run Picks, Parlay for 5/7
Home Run Pick for Wednesday: Bryan Reynolds (Pirates)
For Wednesday’s MLB action, our top pick for the first home run hitter is Bryan Reynolds of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Facing off against the St. Louis Cardinals, Reynolds offers an appealing opportunity with odds of +825 at BetMGM. According to our proprietary PRO Projections, Reynolds holds a projection value of 0.16 homers today, translating to a 4% betting edge. He recently demonstrated his power by hitting a home run just two nights ago in the same environment, and already has five homers this season. He stands out as the best bet in the Pirates-Cardinals matchup per our data.
Home Run Pick for Wednesday: Kyle Tucker (Cubs)
Shortly after, we shift our focus to Kyle Tucker of the Chicago Cubs as they take on the San Francisco Giants.
Tucker is priced at +575 on bet365, though odds can be found as low as +475 elsewhere. In his first season with the Cubs, Tucker has showcased his ability to clear the fences, hitting nine home runs so far. PRO Projections essentially feel he’s undervalued, pegging Tucker for 0.22 and a 5% edge in the home run market.
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