mlb-odds-jacob-misiorowski-6-12-2025

MLB Odds: Betting Model Predicts Jacob Misiorowski’s Strikeout Total Thursday

There’s a sharp betting opportunity brewing in the MLB strikeout markets for the Brewers vs. Cardinals series opener on June 12.

Jacob Misiorowski, a top pitching prospect for Milwaukee, is making his debut tonight –and generating significant attention regarding betting odds.

With a fastball consistently in the high-90s mph and occasional triple-digit velocity, Misiorowski even commanded a market at FanDuel for how fast his first pitch would be.

Our MLB betting models crunched the odds and signaled a big edge on Misiorowski’s over/under tonight vs. the Cardinals. Let’s dig into some neat Action PRO betting software.

MLB Odds: Betting Model Predicts Jacob Misiorowski’s Strikeout Total Thursday

According to our cutting-edge MLB software, Misiorowski’s over/under is one of the best bets on any pitcher prop today.

The right-hander’s strikeout line is set at 4.5 with odds at -105, but the PRO Projections model places his expected strikeouts notably higher at 5.38, revealing an 11.1% edge. This gap between the consensus market line and our analytical projection signals clear value for bettors to take the over.

Milwaukee’s stadium, Miller Park, has ranked second best for adjusted pitcher strikeouts the last three years per Baseball Savant, reinforcing the environment’s suitability for Misiorowski to rack ’em up tonight.

Best odds appear at DraftKings at -105, with some books offering even longer prices up to -118, providing an extra cushion for bettors looking to leverage this advantage. Our MLB expert Kyle Murray also aligns with this view, lending further credibility to the sharp play on over 4.5 strikeouts for Misiorowski.

PRO Pick: Jacob Misiorowski Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)

[quickslipbasic bookname=”DraftKings” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/128508_Primary1.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/June12mlbproqs.jpg” buttontext=”Place This Bet Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1624578669&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]

_InlineAdBlock


Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.


Posted

in

by