mlb-nrfi-picks-predictions-saturday-september-7

MLB NRFI Picks & Predictions for Saturday, September 7

We cashed both tickets yesterday for a nice return of two units. Let’s turn that into a streak.

I have three more MLB NRFI picks and predictions on Saturday, September, 7.

MLB NRFI Picks & Predictions for Saturday, September 7

Billy Ward’s Yankees vs. Cubs NRFI Prediction

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”NRFI -132 (Play to -140)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyy.png” awayname=”Yankees” awayslug=”new-york-yankees” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/chc.png” homename=”Cubs” homeslug=”chicago-cubs” date=”Saturday, September 7″ time=”2:20 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

Starting Pitchers: Clarke Schmidt vs. Javier Assad

I can’t tell you the last time I took a Yankees NRFI, but my model likes it today.

Despite the Yankees offensive strength, this game has a low total of over/under 7, largely due to fairly extreme pitching weather.

The other reason my model likes this one is the extreme splits of both pitchers. Clarke Schmidt has a 1.44 first time through the order ERA, while Javer Assad is at 2.70.

All things considered, that makes for a decent projection edge even at the steep price.

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Billy Ward’s Twins vs. Royals YRFI Prediction

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”YRFI +105 (Play to -105)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/min.png” awayname=”Twins” awayslug=”minnesota-twins” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-kansas-city-royals.png” homename=”Royals” homeslug=”kansas-city-royals” date=”Saturday, September 7″ time=”7:15 p.m. ET” network=”FOX” bookname=”ESPNBet” bookprimarylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/11/ESPNBET-rect-2colorway-e1700601975338.png” bookreviewslug=”espn-bet”][/gameheader]

Starting Pitchers: Bailey Ober vs. Alec Marsh

This game features an 8-run total, which is supported by Kauffman Stadium being a top-three scoring ballpark in baseball.

On top of that, Alec Marsh features an ERA with underlying numbers in the upper-fours, while Bailey Ober’s ERA is a mediocre 3.95.

Neither pitcher is especially strong early in games either, which makes this one worth taking at a pick’em price even without powerhouse offenses on either side.

Billy Ward’s Giants vs. Padres NRFI Prediction

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”NRFI -135 (Play to -145)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” awayname=”Giants” awayslug=”san-francisco-Giants” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” homename=”Padres” homeslug=”san-diego-padres” date=”Saturday, September 7″ time=”8:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

Starting Pitchers: Logan Webb vs. Dylan Cease

This is another game with a low 7-run total, and also features slightly worse offenses than Cubs-Yankees.

The NRFI is a similar price, but projecting even better. That’s due to a combination of worse/less top-heavy lineups, and even better pitching.

Both Logan Webb and Dylan Cease have first time through the order xFIP marks in the mid-twos, plus strong numbers overall. This one is widely available at -135.

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