mlb-moneyline-over-under-picks-pro-systems-august-11 david festa, mlb twins

MLB Moneyline, Over/Under Picks August 11 Backed by PRO Systems

Sunday’s MLB slate brings us a golden opportunity to leverage not one, but two distinct PRO Systems, each crafted to identify moneyline and over/under picks analyzing historical data.

These proprietary betting trends boast impressive win rates—57% and 61%, respectively—offering two different betting strategies to incorporate. Today’s MLB picks backed by PRO Systems fall on two specific matchups: Twins vs. Guardians and Mets vs. Mariners.

We focus on one moneyline bet and one over/under, driven by systems centered on starting pitchers and undervalued favorites.


MLB Moneyline, Over/Under Picks Backed by PRO Systems for August 11

The Twins vs. Guardians 57% Trend for Sunday

First on the docket is a potential pitching duel between the Twins and Guardians.

Here, the PRO System High-Strikeout Pitchers advises taking the under on MLB game totals set at 8 or more featuring two starters with a penchant to strike hitters out. This PRO System kicks in midway through the season to emphasize strikeout rate.

For Sunday’s AL clash, starters Tanner Bibee and David Festa perfectly align with this approach, setting off the 57% angle.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1245754″ systemname=”High Strikeout Pitchers (PRO)” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20home%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%2026%20and%20162%22%2C%22the%20home%20pitcher’s%20strikeout%20rate%20is%20between%200.23%20and%201%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%208%20and%20100%22%2C%22the%20visiting%20pitcher’s%20strikeout%20rate%20is%20between%200.27%20and%201%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$5,493″ record=”327-249-33″ winpct=”57%”][/betlabsembed]

PRO Systems Pick: Twins vs. Guardians Under


Sides Such as the Mariners Sunday are Undervalued

Switching gears to the second pick, Mariners moneyline is a potential steal against the Mets.

The PRO System “Average AL Teams vs. NL” advocates for betting on American League home favorites with win percentages between 47% and 53% when they face National League opponents. The Mariners fit this profile neatly, making them a compelling pick in the interleague series finale.

With a success rate of 61% in past scenarios, this system translates to an implied probability of approximately -156. Given that the current price for the Mariners’ moneyline sits at -130, it presents a value-packed betting opportunity historical trends strongly support.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1112957″ systemname=”Average AL teams vs. NL (PRO)” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20conference%20is%20the%20AL%22%2C%22the%20opposing%20team’s%20conference%20is%20the%20NL%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2047%25%20and%2054%25%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Home%20team%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%2030%20and%20162%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$6,653″ record=”631-406-0″ winpct=”61%”][/betlabsembed]

PRO Systems Pick: Mariners Moneyline


Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

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