mlb-picks-friday-moneyline-over-under-august-30-Brandon Lowe #8 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates with teammates in the dugout after scoring in the first inning

MLB Moneyline, Over/Under Picks for Friday, August 30

The betting markets are super active Friday with an infusion of sports, so we’re using PRO Systems to find the best MLB moneyline and over/under picks spanning all day. And we found ’em, all right.

With a full slate ahead, a pair of separate PRO Systems pumped out a play each, headlined by a compelling 61% trend that only activates on interleague games.

For Friday, we’re breaking down moneyline and over/under picks for Padres vs. Rays in the early window and Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks later on.

PRO Systems serve as proprietary betting trends, employing historical data to uncover situational angles. These models are crafted using key insights to highlight potential best bets.

We start with the Padres vs. Rays, which matches our 61% AL vs. NL-only trend.


MLB Moneyline, Over/Under Picks for Friday, August 30

The Padres vs. Rays 61% Trend for Friday

[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” awayname=”Padres” awayslug=”san-diego-padres” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/tb.png” homename=”Rays” homeslug=”tampa-bay-rays” date=”Friday, Aug 30″ time=”6:50pm ET” network=”Apple TV+” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+1.5″ col1awayline=”-205″ col1hometext=”-1.5″ col1homeline=”+168″ col2awaytext=”7.5″ col2hometext=”7.5″ col2awayline=”-105o / -115u” col2homeline=”-105o / -115u” col3awaytext=”+116″ col3hometext=”-136″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”FanDuel” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gamematchup]

We found something when analyzing American League teams hosting National League opponents. And it’s our best moneyline model in MLB PRO Systems.

Specifically, AL home teams with win percentages ranging between 47% to 53% have a notable 61% success rate against their NL counterparts, especially as the season matures. This trend suggests that these AL teams are often undervalued in such matchups, providing a lucrative opportunity for savvy bettors.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1112957″ systemname=”Average AL teams vs. NL (PRO)” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20conference%20is%20the%20AL%22%2C%22the%20opposing%20team’s%20conference%20is%20the%20NL%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2047%25%20and%2054%25%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Home%20team%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%2030%20and%20162%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$6,875″ record=”640-412-0″ winpct=”61%”][/betlabsembed]

It’s the Rays matching Friday’s 61% trend.

PRO Systems Pick: Rays Moneyline


Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over/Under Pick Friday

Next, we delve into the “Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams” PRO System.

This model indicates a preference for the under when two winning MLB teams go head-to-head, particularly if the majority of bets—66% or more—are leaning towards the over. This contrarian approach holds a 53% historical win rate and has proven to be a solid strategy for identifying undervalued betting lines.

[betlabsembed systemid=”206459″ systemname=”Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2035%25%22%2C%22the%20visitor%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2051%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2051%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$14,022″ record=”1634-1424-141″ winpct=”53%”][/betlabsembed]

Friday’s matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks falls squarely within this system. Early bets are on the over (88% of tickets).

Both teams have been performing well, and with public sentiment heavily shifting towards a high-scoring game, this creates the perfect storm for an under bet. By going against the grain, bettors can capitalize on inflated lines created by majority betting.

PRO Systems Pick: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Under


Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

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