For Thursday, August 14, I’m on 3 MLB home run props: Kyle Tucker, Kyle Stowers and Pete Alonso.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Thursday.
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MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Thursday, August 14
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:07 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/chc.png” text=”Kyle Tucker Home Run (+450)”][/teammatchup] |
| 6:40 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mia.png” text=”Kyle Stowers Home Run (+425)”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” text=”Pete Alonso Home Run (+310)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for August 14
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Kyle Tucker (+450)” subtext=”at Blue Jays (SP: RHP Max Scherzer)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/chc.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Kyle Tucker is in a great spot, and these odds are way too high. He gets a matchup vs. Max Scherzer, who has been crushed by lefty power this season, giving up a massive 2.10 HR/9. Scherzer is not the same pitcher he used to be and really doesn’t have the stuff vs. lefties anymore. Tucker hasn’t been in great form recently, but he is getting a ballpark upgrade. I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Kyle Stowers (+425)” subtext=”at Guardians (SP: RHP Tanner Bibee)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mia.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
I’m going back to the well with Kyle Stowers today. Tanner Bibee has been hit hard by lefty power this season, giving up a large 1.71 HR/9. The ballpark is an upgrade for lefty power for Stowers and he almost got one last night. I have the true odds on Stowers around +350 today, making this a great EV bet.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pete Alonso (+310)” subtext=”vs Braves (SP: RHP Bryce Elder)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Pete Alonso is in a good spot, and although these odds are low, they aren’t low enough. Opposing pitcher Bryce Elder has been crushed by righty power this season, giving up a high 1.79 HR/9. This ballpark is an upgrade for Alonso, and the weather should be a plus, with WeatherEdge giving this game a 12.1% increase to homers. Alonso has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball this month, with six homers. I have the true odds around +250, making this a great bet.
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