For Sunday, August 17, I’m on three MLB home run props: Mike Trout, Jo Adell and Pete Alonso.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Sunday.
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Editor’s Note: A home run parlay is not the author’s formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Sunday, August 17
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:05 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” text=”Mike Trout Home Run (+333)”][/teammatchup] |
| 4:05 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” text=”Jo Adell Home Run (+350)”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” text=”Pete Alonso Home Run (+475)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for August 17
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Mike Trout (+333)” subtext=”at Athletics (SP: LHP Jeffrey Springs)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
The Angels‘ righties are in a great spot. Jeffrey Springs has been a fantastic matchup for righty power this season, giving up 1.71 HR/9.
I have the true odds on Mike Trout under +300.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Jo Adell (+350)” subtext=”at Athletics (SP: LHP Jeffrey Springs)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
On top of the matchup against Springs, there is a weather factor involved in the Angels vs. A’s game.
The weather isn’t as hot as it usually is in Sacramento, but the wind is blowing out at 9 MPH, so it is a positive hitting environment for home runs.
I have the true odds on Jo Adell under +300.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pete Alonso (+475)” subtext=”vs Mariners (SP: RHP George Kirby)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This is strictly a price play on Pete Alonso.
George Kirby has been great at suppressing righty power this season, allowing 0.45 HR/9, but he’s due for some pretty massive negative regression, and he’s historically been a slightly below-average matchup for righty power.
The weather is good for hitting over in New York, with a 20% increase in homers according to WeatherEdge.
Getting Alonso at these odds in a slightly above-average spot is just silly. I have the true odds nearly 100 points lower.
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