For Saturday, August 9, I’m on three MLB home run props: Spencer Torkelson, Pete Alonso and Shohei Ohtani.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Saturday.
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MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Saturday, August 9
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” text=”Spencer Torkelson Home Run (+450)”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” text=”Pete Alonso Home Run (+375)”][/teammatchup] |
| 9:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” text=”Shohei Ohtani Home Run (+195)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for August 9
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Spencer Torkelson (+450)” subtext=”vs Angeles (SP: LHP Yusei Kikuchi)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
These odds are way too high given the matchup. Yusei Kikuchi has been a gas can for righty power in his career.
Spencer Torkelson is an above-average power bat and isn’t priced as he should be.
I have the true odds on Tork around +350.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pete Alonso (+375)” subtext=”at Brewers (SP: RHP Tobias Myers)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Pete Alonso gets a great matchup against Tobias Myers.
While Myers has suppressed power to righties well this season, owning a 0.6 HR/9, he’s due for some massive negative regression given his 4.5% HR/FB rate while only striking out righties at an 18.8% clip and allowing a 45% fly-ball rate.
I have the true odds on Alonso under +300.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Shohei Ohtani (+195)” subtext=”vs Blue Jays (SP: RHP Chris Bassitt)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
I’m taking Shohei Ohtani tonight in a great spot vs. Chris Bassitt.
Bassitt has been an absolute gas can for lefty power over the last 3 seasons, posting above-average splits.
Ohtani is a great power bat and isn’t priced for the great matchup.
I have the true odds on Ohtani around +160.
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