For Saturday, August 16, I’m on four MLB home run props, mostly Mets players: Francisco Lindor, Juan Soto, Pete Alonso and A’s rookie Nick Kurtz.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Saturday.
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Editor’s Note: A home run parlay is not the author’s formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Saturday, August 16
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” text=”Francisco Lindor Home Run (+450)”][/teammatchup] |
| 4:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” text=”Juan Soto Home Run (+320)”][/teammatchup] |
| 4:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” text=”Pete Alonso Home Run (+425)”][/teammatchup] |
| 10:05 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Athletics” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png” text=”Nick Kurtz Home Run (+330)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for August 16
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Francisco Lindor (+450)” subtext=”vs Mariners (SP: RHP Bryan Woo)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Mariners starter Bryan Woo has struggled with the long ball this season, allowing a 1.3 HR/9 to both sides of the plate.
Francisco Lindor has been in good form recently, and I have the true odds nearly 100 points lower.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Juan Soto (+320)” subtext=”vs Mariners (SP: RHP Bryan Woo)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Aside from the matchup against Woo, the weather in New York is good for hitting, with temperatures in the low 80s and wind blowing out to right at 9 MPH.
WeatherEdge is showing a 13.6% increase in homers.
Juan Soto has been hitting the ball well recently, and I have the true odds around +275.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pete Alonso (+425)” subtext=”vs Mariners (SP: RHP Bryan Woo)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
The third Mets player to feature in today’s picks will be a usual candidate.
Pete Alonso has been on a tear recently, hitting an average of .333 with a .733 slugging percentage, three home runs and eight runs batted in over his last seven games.
Tonight, I have the true odds for him around +320.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Nick Kurtz (+330)” subtext=”vs Angels (SP: LHP Tyler Anderson)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Angels starter Tyler Anderson has been crushed by lefty power this season, giving up a massive 2.6 HR/9.
The weather is great for hitting, with temps in the 80s and wind blowing out heavily in what is already a great park for hitting.
Nick Kurtz has been slow recently, but he came out of his slump last night. I have the true odds around +275.
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