I’m building a +4426 home run parlay for MLB Sunday you can instantly tail below.
Our PRO Projections are heating up. After cashing a 38-1 parlay Friday, 1-of-2 legs hit yesterday for a profitable day on straight bets.
Below, we’re diving into two hitters with strong probabilities from out betting models to go yard tonight. These hitters are priced +520 and +630.
Today’s games start at 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s get it rocking.
MLB Home Run Predictions, Parlay for 5/4
Home Run Pick for Sunday: Salvador Perez (Royals)
Odds: +520
PRO Projection: 0.24
Edge: +5.2%
Our first spotlight is on Salvador Perez, the catcher for the Kansas City Royals who will be taking on the role of designated hitter against the Baltimore Orioles.
Despite having only two home runs this season, today presents an ideal opportunity for the veteran to shine. According to our weather analysis, the wind is blowing out to the right field at 8.3 mph, which could work in Perez’s favor. Currently, his odds to hit a home run are priced at +520 (FanDuel), and our PRO Projections indicate a 0.24 probability, offering a betting edge of 5.2%.
Perez’s StatCast metrics are impressive, placing him in the 79th percentile for hard-hit percentage and the 88th percentile for barrel rate.
Home Run Pick for Sunday: Lawrence Butler (A’s)
Odds: +630
PRO Projection: 0.21
Edge: +5.2%
Our second pick is Lawrence Butler of the Oakland Athletics, who faces off against the Miami Marlins today.
After the Athletics hit three home runs at loanDepot Park on Saturday, our projections are optimistic about several hitters, including Butler. He’s positioned as a likely standout with odds of +630 at FanDuel and a PRO Projection probability of 0.21, giving bettors a similar 5.2% edge.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”FanDuel” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/53766_FanDuel@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/05/IMG_2174.jpeg” buttontext=”Instantly Tail Today’s PRO Projections HR Parlay!” buttonlink=”https://sharpside.com/books/fanduel/passthrough?deeplinkId[0]=ML1535764390&deeplinkId[1]=ML1534800697&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.