MLB Sunday brings exciting opportunities for home run bettors, and we’re turning to our PRO Projections to find the top value picks for today.
Our proprietary system, developed by a team of savvy MLB experts, analyzes player projections, betting odds, and probabilities to uncover the best bets with an edge in the market.
For Sunday, we have two solid home run picks along with a high-upside, +4280 parlay option to follow—all offering strong value at FanDuel. The games get underway at 2:11 p.m. ET and 4:06 p.m. ET.
Individually, both home run picks are priced +500 and +630. Let’s see who our data likes for a long ball today.
MLB Home Run Predictions, Parlay for 5/18
Home Run Pick for Sunday: Royce Lewis (Twins)
Odds: +630
PRO Projection: 0.21
Edge: +5.2%
First up is Royce Lewis, the Twins’ shortstop, facing the Brewers. Despite not having homered yet this season, our PRO Projections give Lewis a 0.21 chance to go deep today, representing a 5.2% edge over the market. His +630 odds at FanDuel offer the best value in the Twins-Brewers matchup, making him a prime candidate to break out with his first homer.
Home Run Pick for Sunday: Brent Rooker (A’s)
Odds: +500
PRO Projection: 0.25
Edge: +5.1%
Next, look to Brent Rooker of the Athletics against the Giants. Rooker is a proven slugger with a 0.25 PRO Projection and a 5.5% edge, translating to +500 odds at FanDuel. This makes him the standout home run bet in the A’s-Giants game.
Finally, combining these two picks into a parlay boosts the payout to an impressive +4280 at FanDuel, giving bettors a chance at a huge payoff by backing both players to go yard Sunday.
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.