Our MLB home run projections are all over one game in particular tonight.
MLB Monday brings us a small slate of matchups, and we’re zeroing in on the Yankees vs. Orioles matchup to uncover the top home run bets using our advanced, proprietary betting models.
Our expert team utilizes this unique data, combining player projections and betting market analysis, to pinpoint advantageous betting opportunities.
Today, we’ll highlight three promising picks, with odds at +560, +575, and +700 – all hailing from the same team!
Let’s dive into our selections and the most favorable odds available.
MLB Home Run Predictions for 4/28 Using Advanced Models
Home Run Pick for Monday: Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)
Odds: +700
PRO Projection: 0.21
Edge: +6.5%
First up is Yankees outfielder Jazz Chisholm, our top pick of the night.
With odds of +700 at BetMGM, Chisholm is expected to deliver, as PRO Projections forecast 0.21 home runs for him. This results in a noteworthy edge of +6.5%. With seven homers already under his belt this season, Chisholm gets a favorable draw at Camden Yards.
Home Run Pick for Monday: Ben Rice (Yankees)
Odds: +560
PRO Projection: 0.24
Edge: +6.4%
Next on our list is Yankees designated hitter Ben Rice, with enticing odds of +560 at FanDuel. Rice holds our second-best edge and has launched six home runs this year. His StatCast metrics are exceptional, indicating his potential to go deep in this matchup.
Home Run Pick for Monday: Trent Grisham (Yankees)
Odds: +575
PRO Projection: 0.23
Edge: +6.4%
Finally, we focus on Yankees outfielder Trent Grisham, who presents a solid option at +575, with the best odds found on bet365. Having homered just yesterday, Grisham is on form and well-positioned to continue his power-hitting display.
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.