An undervalued home run hitter could provide a lucrative opportunity in tonight’s MLB showdown between the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds. Our expert projections are dialed in on a player to go yard on Monday at long odds.
The strength of the PRO Projections signal is especially helpful when betting on home run props. These projections leverage advanced models that take into account intricate factors like player performance trends, matchup specifics and historical data. This analytical precision ensures a higher probability of success by identifying mispriced betting markets.
Ryan Feltner and Andrew Abbott get the nod for their respective teams tonight as this Rockies vs. Reds matchup is also tied for the highest over/under on the board on Monday, July 8.
Here’s the pick to click in the home-run betting market Monday utilizing expert projections, which will be submitting MLB props all season long!
MLB Home Run Picks | Expert Projections & Best Bet (July 8)
Rockies outfielder Nolan Jones is the top pick based on today’s projections, and there’s good reason to believe he offers substantial upside in the home run category.
Jones will face Reds pitcher Andrew Abbott, who has allowed multiple long balls in five home starts this season. This trend amplifies the likelihood that Jones could go deep in tonight’s game.
Currently, the consensus odds for Jones to hit a homer sit at +650, but PRO Projections suggest otherwise. Our proprietary advanced betting models reveal a projection of 0.24 home runs for Jones if he gets the start, creating a pronounced discrepancy when compared to a +650 payout. This signals an 8.0% edge, representing significant value for those looking to capitalize on player prop bets.
Playing at Great American Ball Park, widely regarded as the most homer-friendly park in MLB, amplifies Jones’ chances even further. The dynamics of this venue favoring hitters provide a solid backdrop for Jones to potentially break his recent homer drought.
Having not homered in over a week, Jones could indeed be due for a power surge, making the PRO Projections data all the more compelling for this pick.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Nolan Jones Home Run +650
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