There’s a plot twist to today’s best MLB home run picks: A couple of the best bets from advanced projections Friday, August 2, are in the same game: Giants vs. Reds.
Developed and optimized by our team of MLB experts, PRO Projections are essential for identifying the best home run picks. By evaluating our advanced projections against market odds, we try to uncover the best bets.
Great American Ball Park is tonight’s stage and offers some boosted value. The Reds’ home stadium is consistently one of the best parks for home runs above average. Blake Snell gets the start for the Giants and Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds.
After evaluating the key elements, let’s turn our attention to the best bet and home runs picks from PRO Projections for tonight’s Giants vs. Reds game.
MLB Home Run Picks | Best Bets, Advanced Projections (August 2)
TJ Friedl (Reds)
Getting the nod in center tonight, TJ Friedl’s odds to go deep are worth a look.
PRO Projections data suggests capitalizing on Friedl to homer at +1300 odds (FanDuel). Specifically, Friedl’s homer projection stands at 0.18, compared to a huge payout of 13/1. This discrepancy creates a notable betting edge of 9.3%, graded as a solid B-.
It’s the top home run prop of the night in general.
Jonathan India (Reds)
India’s batting leadoff and could get an extra at-bat atop the lineup.
He’s projected for about 0.2 homers, which, when compared up to top odds available (+875, BetMGM), creates a betable 6.2% edge.
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