Our MLB home run projections update frequently. I find it intriguing that at the time of writing for Tuesday, April 1, the five best bets are all Rangers hitters for Rangers vs. Reds tonight.
An April Fool’s Joke? Nope.
Whether you’re looking for lineups to stack, or simply the best bets to hit home runs at the odds listed, PRO Projections are all over the Rangers when they take on Cincinnati for a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch.
But, which hitters in particular?
Check out the top predictions from our advanced MLB data.
MLB Home Run Odds, Predictions: Rangers vs Reds Picks Tonight
We’ve already released our three big home run picks for 4/1 utilizing promotions at certain sportsbooks.
After our MLB home run projections updated this afternoon, the five top edges all being Rangers hitters required a separate article.
Here’s which five Rangers to bet to hit a home run tonight at the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Marcus Semien
Semien, at the time of writing, is the best edge tonight, at +5.2%.
BetMGM’s price is +550, but our fair odds, based on home run projections, are closer to +355. Semien has 23 or more homers in four straight seasons.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Adolis Garcia
Trailing Semien for the best pick tonight is slugger Adolis Garcia, who produces a +5% edge in the home run market tonight. FanDuel’s odds are +460. Our fair price is south of +300, with a projection of 0.26 dingers.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Corey Seager
Projections liked Seager last night, too, to no avail. Our models are high on the star shortstop in Tuesday’s tilt, with 0.33 homers projected. At +333 odds (BetMGM), it’s a solid 5% edge over the market.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Jake Burger
Burger homered last night. The first-year Ranger earned another optimistic forecast tonight, with 0.29 homers. At a +390 price tag at FanDuel, it’s a solid 4.8% edge.
Home Run Pick for Tuesday: Kyle Higashioka
Last but not least is Kyle Higashioka, who offers the best payout (+575, BetMGM) of the bunch. We’re still moderately high on the veteran catcher, pegging him for 0.21 homers.