PRO Projections did it again last night.
With Ezequiel Tovar’s solo home run Thursday, our expert projections nailed one of the top home run picks three straight days.
No need to keep babbling.
Friday’s top home run odds and best picks feature four hitters across four separate games.
After identifying the best odds in the market, Friday’s prices on the four home run picks feature payouts of +675, +775, +875 and +900
Here’s what we’re working with for Friday’s top home run predictions.
MLB Home Run Predictions, Top Picks Friday From Expert Projections
Home Run Pick for Rockies vs. Brewers: Bet Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar delighted us with a home run yesterday, making him a player to watch once again.
Our projections indicate that Tovar has a 0.21 home run likelihood in today’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
When you stack this up against the best available odds of +775 at BetMGM, it presents a compelling 6.7% edge. Given Tovar’s current form and the favorable matchup, he’s a formidable candidate to go yard once again.
PRO Projections Edge: Ezequiel Tovar HR (+775)
Home Run Pick for Phillies vs. Marlins: Bet Griffin Conine
Our second top pick of the day is Griffin Conine from the Miami Marlins.
According to our refined projections, Conine has a 0.19 home run probability against the Philadelphia Phillies today. With odds of +900 available on FanDuel, this represents a solid 6.5% edge.
PRO Props Edge: Griffin Conine (+900)
Home Run Pick for White Sox vs. Red Sox: Bet Triston Casas
Next, we highlight Triston Casas of the Boston Red Sox, who is projected to hit 0.24 home runs in today’s game against the Chicago White Sox.
His matchup is enticing as the White Sox pitching staff has given up the third-most home runs this season. With the best available odds of +875 at BetMGM, our data reflects a 6.2% edge for Casas. This powerful combination of favorable odds and a juicy matchup makes him a top contender at Fenway Park.
PRO Props Edge: Triston Casas HR (+875)
Home Run Pick for Blue Jays vs. Braves: Bet Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Lastly, we turn our attention to Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Guerrero has been performing well, especially in the second half of the season. Our projections estimate him to hit 0.24 home runs in today’s game, and the best odds of +675 at BetMGM provide a 6% edge. Given Guerrero’s established batting prowess and current hot streak, he remains a reliable option for bettors looking for value.
PRO Props Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. HR (+675)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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